Fresno State is a -15.5 point favorite vs Air Force

Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points

Air Force / Fresno State TV channel: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons visit Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00 pm in Fresno, CA.

Fresno State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-118).

The Air Force vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)MoneylineAir Force+15.5 -102O 141.5 -105+950Fresno State -15.5 -118U 141.5 -115-2000

Air Force vs Fresno State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this college basketball game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Air Force vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 65.4% confidence for today’s game.

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Air Force Basketball Best Bets Today:

Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)

Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)

Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.60 Units / 26% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Best Bets Today:

Fresno State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)

Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)

Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.05 Units / 76% ROI)

Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 7-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.5 Units / -35.98% ROI).

3-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.8 Units / -71.34% ROI

14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI

10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 16-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.3 Units / 32.87% ROI).

10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -25.31% ROI

10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI

13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (174 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Air Force has averaged 61.4 points per game (1,473 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 76.1

Air Force has averaged 15.1 turnovers per game (363 turnovers/24 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Air Force has averaged 61.7 points per game (3,455 points/56 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (344 assists/ 414 TOs) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Fresno State averaged 31% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (518 free throw attempts/1,686 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Fresno State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (389 assists/ 398 TOs) last season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State averaged 68.0 points per game (2,108 points/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (614 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Air Force allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (2,082 points/1,520 shots) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force allowed opponents to shoot 47% (719/1,520) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Air Force has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,257 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State allowed 80.7 points per game (2,582 points/32 games) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.4

Fresno State allowed 9.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (178/618) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (178/618) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

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