Cal Poly is a -5.5 point favorite vs Long Beach State
Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
Long Beach State / Cal Poly TV channel: ESPN+
The Long Beach State Beach visit Mott Athletics Center to take on the Cal Poly Mustangs on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00 pm in San Luis Obispo, CA.
Cal Poly is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-118).
The Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Over/Under is 161.5 total points.
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Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Long Beach State vs Cal Poly Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Cal Poly will win this college basketball game with 64.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Long Beach State vs Cal Poly Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cal Poly will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Long Beach State Basketball Best Bets Today:
Long Beach State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Long Beach State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Long Beach State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Long Beach State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Long Beach State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Cal Poly Basketball Best Bets Today:
Cal Poly has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Cal Poly has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Cal Poly have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Long Beach State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Long Beach State has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 10.1% ROI).
6-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -39.6% ROI
17-9 when betting the Over for +7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI
9-17 when betting the Under for -9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI
Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Cal Poly has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.95 Units / 6.83% ROI).
10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.8 Units / 35.13% ROI
14-12 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 2.62% ROI
12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.91% ROI
Long Beach State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Long Beach State averaged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (387 rebounds/34 games) last season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 9.0
Long Beach State had 23.8 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 20.5
Long Beach State made 5.4 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Long Beach State had 387 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big West Teams
Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:
Cal Poly has averaged 15.5 turnovers per game (434 turnovers/28 games) this season — highest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 12.6
Cal Poly has averaged 15.5 turnovers per game (976 turnovers/63 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Cal Poly has made 10.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Cal Poly has averaged 15.5 turnovers per game (434 turnovers/28 games) this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.5
Long Beach State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Long Beach State allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (258/687) last season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 34%
Long Beach State has averaged 21.6 defensive rebounds per game (605 rebounds/28 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Long Beach State allowed 76.9 points per game (2,614 points/34 games) last season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 71.1
Long Beach State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (190/534) this season — tied for highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 34%
Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:
Cal Poly averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (621 rebounds/30 games) last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8
Cal Poly allowed an average of 1.33 points per shot (2,210 points/1,664 shots) last season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 1.24
Cal Poly has allowed 83.8 points per game (5,279 points/63 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.4
Cal Poly averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (621 rebounds/30 games) last season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
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