College Basketball Betting Preview: Sacramento State vs Montana State
The Sacramento State Hornets square off against the Montana State Bobcats, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Saturday, February 28.
Montana State to Overpower Sacramento State
Montana State are available at odds of -108 when it comes to backing them against the spread. The appealing -9.5 line could be covered with ease when they play Sacramento State and this looks like a value bet.
Montana State Have Won 8 of Previous 10 H2H Matchups
Sacramento State Hornets lost on the road in their previous game. Montana Grizzlies won 81-73.
Montana State Bobcats last game saw them claim a 84-69 home win over Portland State Vikings.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Sacramento State beat Montana State when the teams last met. It was a 83-80 scoreline. In the past 10 games between the teams, Montana State have won eight.
Montana State
17-13
2343
2142
201
12-2
5-11
2W
Sacramento State
9-20
2280
2409
-129
9-4
0-16
7L
Sacramento State vs Montana State Prediction & Picks
Our Sacramento State vs Montana State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.
Game Prediction
Montana State should be able to cover the -9.5 betting line in this college matchup. We’re confident of a strong showing and a bet against the spread could be the best play at -108.
The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key stats to help shape our basketball picks and guide the final call.
Key Sacramento State vs Montana State stats:
The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sac State in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sac State in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.Montana State -9.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 51.8% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
You have the choice to buy or sell points depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.
Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.
Our Game Prediction
Bet Now
BetMGM Promo
Promotions on BetMGM!
Get Bonus
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 21:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 21:03, 27 February 2026
Correct Score Prediction
There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Montana State to record a 82-68 victory. There’s a huge return if we get this right.
T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Sacramento State vs Montana State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Giving Montana State Plenty of Respect
Montana State are strong -476 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 83% chance of claiming victory. Sacramento State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +350.
The current spread is 8.5 and the total points line is 157.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 157.5, then the odds are -105.
There are plenty of team props and game lines available for college basketball wagering, and we recommend checking out the top sportsbooks to find the bet that aligns with your prediction for the game.
Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
Player Props & Micro Betting
You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Sacramento State Stats
Montana State Stats
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games
+9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
+9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
-9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
-9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 165.40 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 163.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 157.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 157.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 84.10 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.90 pts and allowed 87.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 151.10 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 150.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 157.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 157.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 74.70 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.00 pts and allowed 69.50 pts in the last 10 home games
Expert Analysis by Danny Lewis
College Basketball Analyst
About the Analyst
Our basketball previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our basketball panel and Editor-in-Chief.
NCAAB Predictions Methodology
Our college basketball analysis blends injuries, roster availability and matchup context with recent results, home/away splits and market movement. We use advanced metrics such as EPA (Expected Points Added), Success Rate, Pressure Rate and opponent-adjusted efficiency ratings (including DVOA-style measures where available) to assess true team strength and game flow.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
The betting site referenced has been independently reviewed under our published review methodology, which evaluates betting lines, odds and market depth, licensing and security, payment processes, withdrawal reliability, responsible gambling tools and additional platform criteria relevant to user experience and regulatory standards.
 Read our BetMGM Analyst Review
Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Feb 28, 09:38 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
18+ (or legal age). If gambling is causing harm or distress, support is available. Visit our Gamble Responsibly hub for safer gambling tools, self-exclusion options and local helplines.
Editorial Policy | Disclaimer