The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-27-11) will try to break an eight-game home losing streak when they play the Anaheim Ducks (36-25-3) on March 12 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Here’s our pick for who will claim the victory in Thursday’s matchup.

The Maple Leafs have recorded a 2-6-2 record in their past 10 games. They have totaled 24 goals while conceding 32 in that period. On the power play, 21 opportunities have resulted in six goals (28.6% conversion rate).

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this encounter predicts a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Ducks 3.

Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-107)
Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.7 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Ducks Splits and Trends

The Ducks are 15-3-18 in overtime games as part of a 36-25-3 overall record.
Anaheim is 12-4-3 (27 points) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
Looking at the nine times this season the Ducks ended a game with only one goal, they have a 1-7-1 record, good for three points.
Anaheim has taken eight points from the nine games this season when it scored a pair of goals (4-5-0 record).
The Ducks are 31-9-2 in the 42 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 64 points).
In the 18 games when Anaheim has recorded a single power-play goal, it registered 30 points after finishing 14-2-2.
In the 33 games when it outshot its opponent, Anaheim is 20-12-1 (41 points).
The Ducks’ opponents have had more shots in 26 games. The Ducks finished 14-10-2 in those matchups (30 points).
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

The Maple Leafs have earned a record of 8-11-19 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall mark of 27-27-11.
Toronto has earned 30 points (11-3-8) in its 22 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Maple Leafs registered just one goal in seven games and they’ve earned two points (0-5-2) in those contests.
Toronto has earned 14 points (5-10-4 record) this season when scoring two goals .
The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals in 38 games, earning 49 points from those contests.
This season, Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 21 games and picked up 18 points with a record of 6-9-6.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 6-8-2 (14 points).
The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 47 times this season, and earned 47 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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