Kyle LaRusic
• Betting Analyst
5+ years betting experience
Updated:
Mar 30, 2026 , 02:03 PM ET
• 3 min read
There’s plenty of bad blood between these teams, and William Nylander will strike when his team goes a man up.
EXPERT PICK – PROP
William Nylander o0.5 Power Play Points (+230)
Photo By – Reuters Connect. William Nylander (88) looks for th epuck against the New York Rangers.
A game that means so little to the Toronto Maple Leafs standings-wise is one they’ve had circled since honorary scumbag Radko Gudas took out their captain, Auston Matthews, back on March 12.
Tonight’s affair could be scrappy, and my Maple Leafs vs. Ducks predictions expect the Buds to strike on the man advantage.
Find out more in my NHL picks for March 30.
Maple Leafs vs Ducks prediction
Maple Leafs vs Ducks best bet: William Nylander Over 0.5 power play points (+230)
It doesn’t take a brain surgeon to figure out this game could get out of hand quickly. I expect whistles to be looser than usual for both sides to keep things in order as much as possible.
The Anaheim Ducks take 9.9 penalty minutes per game (29th), and their 78.4 penalty kill percentage sits at 21st.
The Toronto Maple Leafs’ 19% power play won’t turn heads, but given enough chances, it can make some noise. The Buds recently had four power plays vs. Boston and converted twice.
William Nylander picked up his 16th PP point on the season — a Toronto best.
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Maple Leafs vs Ducks same-game parlay
Let’s have some exacta fun.
While Nylander has the most power-play points for Toronto, John Tavares has the most goals with eight. With enough time on the man advantage, the former Leafs captain will rack up plenty of shots and bury the biscuit for his team — as Nylander lends a helping hand.
Neither team instills much confidence on the defensive side of the ice, and Over bettors have profited as a result. They’re a combined 81-58-8 to the Over, and the last meeting ended up with a 6-4 final.
Anaheim’s projected starter, Lukas Dostal, has let in three goals in four of his last five outings, while Toronto netminder Joseph Woll just got shelled by the Blues.
Maple Leafs vs Ducks SGP
John Tavares anytime goalscorer
William Nylander Over 0.5 assists
Over 6.5
Maple Leafs vs Ducks odds
Moneyline: Maple Leafs -200 | Ducks +165
Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 (-140) | Ducks -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-125) | Under 6.5 (+105)
Maple Leafs vs Ducks trend
William Nylander has eight points in his last 10 games. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Ducks.
How to watch Maple Leafs vs Ducks
Location
Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
Date
Monday, March 30, 2026
Puck drop
10:00 p.m. ET
TV
Sportsnet Ontario, Victory+
Maple Leafs vs Ducks latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.
Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.
Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.
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