San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Best Bet
Under 6.5 Goals @ -100
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Why is the Total Line so Big?
When the Sharks and the Maple Leafs clash, we’re confidently predicting an Under 6.5 goal outcome. The -100 that this happens looks really attractive.
Our expert Sharks vs Maple Leafs betting picks include our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for the complete analysis behind each play.
San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview
The San Jose Sharks clash with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:30 on Monday, October 19.
San Jose Sharks were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 4-3 (SO) loss against Detroit Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena. Macklin Celebrini bagged 4 points, comprising 2 goals and 2 assists.
Toronto Maple Leafs have lost on their last three outings. In a recent home game at Scotiabank Arena, they were turned over 4-1 by New York Islanders. Leafs had 29 shots and Colton Sissons scored the only goal.
H2H: Sharks 4-1 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting
It was a 4-1 win for the Sharks at SAP Center when they last played the Leafs. The Sharks have triumphed in their previous four meetings against the Leafs. On the head-to-head front, it has been 6 wins out of 10.
Starting Goalies
Yaroslav Askarov (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
26/27
2-3-0
4
.848
0
25/26
21-20-4
3.7
.883
0
Sergei Bobrovsky (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
26/27
1-3-2
3.3
.891
0
25/26
27-23-1
3.1
.877
4
San Jose Sharks – Last 10 Games
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.9 goals from 27.1 shots on goal, with a 20.5% powerplay efficiency. The Sharks have given up 3.4 goals from 27.1 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.8%.
Macklin Celebrini is the top points scorer with 16 points, 4 goals and 10 assists, with Will Smith racking up 9 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Yaroslav Askarov have a 4.16 goal against average with a .840 save percentage.
Toronto Maple Leafs – Last 10 Games
The Leafs have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.0 goals from 27.2 shots on goal, with a 21.6% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.4 goals from 30.2 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.9%.
Auston Matthews and William Nylander have scored the most points on 13, with each player managing 6 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky have a 2.98 GAA with a .899 SV%.
Best Bet
We’ve found some excellent value with a totals bet. We might see the NHL game go under the goal line and our pick of six goals or less can be backed at -100.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Sharks games on the road.The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Sharks games.The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Maple Leafs games at home.The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.
Incoming team news often impacts the NHL betting lines in significant ways. Our handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each hockey prediction.
Under 6.5 Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
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The best sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under bet. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.
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Under 6.5 Goals @ -100
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 18, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:56, 18 October 2026
Player Prop Picks
Jack Roslovic (Maple Leafs) has recorded Over 1.5 shots on goal in 9 straight games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Shots on Goal line and there are odds of -185 available.
Latest Jack Roslovic Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Make Leafs Moneyline Favorites
Sportsbooks’ favorites Toronto Maple Leafs are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -145 about them triumphing means a 59% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back San Jose Sharks, you will find +120 about the underdogs.
There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 6.5. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to back Over 6.5, it’s -130.
National Hockey League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value picks.
Auston Matthews Favorite to Light the Lamp First
Auston Matthews is the First Goalscorer favorite at +850. Alternatively, there’s the chance to simply back him to light the lamp at anytime at +120.
Player Goals
Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)
Macklin Celebrini (Sharks)
William Nylander (Maple Leafs)
Kirill Marchenko (Maple Leafs)
Player Assists
Macklin Celebrini (Sharks)
William Nylander (Maple Leafs)
Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)
Darren Raddysh (Maple Leafs)
Player Shots
Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)
Macklin Celebrini (Sharks)
William Nylander (Maple Leafs)
Kirill Marchenko (Maple Leafs)
Micro Betting
Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NHL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
San Jose Sharks Stats
Toronto Maple Leafs Stats
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.50 pts and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.8
Shots: 27.1
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.8
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 10.3
Blocks: 13.6
Faceoff Wins : 26.7
Hits: 24.8
Giveaways: 16.8
Takeaways: 5.4
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 25.9
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.3
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 9.3
Blocks: 14.9
Faceoff Wins : 26.1
Hits: 24.3
Giveaways: 18.1
Takeaways: 4.6
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.8
Shots: 27.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.7
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 7.7
Blocks: 10.8
Faceoff Wins : 28.6
Hits: 20
Giveaways: 17.7
Takeaways: 4.2
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 26.5
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 6.3
Blocks: 12.2
Faceoff Wins : 28.4
Hits: 21.4
Giveaways: 16.2
Takeaways: 3.8
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Robert Carter
NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Our ice hockey previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our hockey panel and Editor-in-Chief.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Prediction Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Oct 19, 07:38 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts, supported by proprietary internal models, advanced performance metrics and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
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