North Dakota State is favored to beat Cal State Bakersfield at Icardo Center on Sunday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers’ men’s college basketball model.

Our North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield prediction gives the Bison a 61.2% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there’s betting value on North Dakota State to cover at -2.5, too.

North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield key predictions

Predicted score: North Dakota State 78-75 Cal State Bakersfield
North Dakota State win probability: 61.2%
Cal State Bakersfield win probability: 38.8%
North Dakota State -2.5 spread: 55.6% cover probability
Over 152.5 points: 51.8% probability

 

Our men’s college basketball predictions project each team’s final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

North Dakota State moneyline: -145 (BetMGM)
Cal State Bakersfield moneyline: +126 (Caesars Sportsbook)
North Dakota State -2.5: -105 (BetMGM)
Cal State Bakersfield +2.5: -105 (DraftKings)
Over 152.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
Under 152.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield pick: North Dakota State -2.5 (-105)

Our model makes North Dakota State the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Bison to cover the -2.5 spread at -105 on BetMGM, too.

Those odds give North Dakota State an implied cover probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 55.6%.

That’s a 4.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

 

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Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield game details

Matchup: North Dakota State Bison vs. Cal State Bakersfield
Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Venue: Icardo Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men’s college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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