The Sacramento Kings (3-9) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (7-4) Friday at the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota, with tip-off set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Kings vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Timberwolves lead 1-0 with a 144-117 victory on Nov. 9, covering as a 4.5-point home favorite as the Over (238) cashed

The Kings’ struggles continued Wednesday night as they dropped their fourth straight game in a 133-100 loss to the Atlanta Hawks, failing to cover as 4-point home underdogs. G Keon Ellis provided a bright spot, leading the team with 20 points off the bench. Ultimately, Sacramento couldn’t match Atlanta’s offensive pace in a one-sided defeat.

The Timberwolves kept their hot streak alive Monday night, earning their third straight win with a 120-113 victory over the Utah Jazz. Minnesota failed to cover as 7.5-point road favorites as the Under (234.5) cashed. All 5 starters scored in double figures, led by G Anthony Edwards, who dropped 35 points on 5-of-9 from deep. F Julius Randle added 27 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists, and 3 steals.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Kings at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Kings +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Timberwolves -650 (bet $650 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Kings +11.5 (-105) | Timberwolves -11.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Kings at Timberwolves key injuries

Kings

G Malik Monk (ankle) questionableF Domantas Sabonis (rib) questionable

Timberwolves

G Terrence Shannon Jr. (bone bruise) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Kings at Timberwolves picks and predictionsPrediction

Timberwolves 131, Kings 111

PASS.

It should be an easy victory for the Timberwolves (-650) Friday night, which is why I’ll take my wager to the spread.

BET TIMBERWOLVES -11.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves look poised to keep rolling, and Friday’s NBA Cup matchup sets up perfectly for them to cover the -11.5 against a slumping Kings squad.

Minnesota enters the weekend atop West Group A and in one of the league’s hottest stretches, winning 5 of its last 6 and covering in 4 of those games. That surge includes a dominant 144-117 win over Sacramento, a reminder of just how wide the gap is between these teams right now. The Wolves also opened NBA Cup play with a win and have begun to show a level of focus and consistency that’s been missing in past seasons. At 7-4, and coming off a strong 120-113 road victory in Utah, they’re playing with confidence and purpose.

Sacramento, meanwhile, is trending the opposite direction. The Kings have lost 4 straight, failed to cover in all 4, and sit near the bottom of the league at 3-9 overall. Their defense has cratered, and their offense hasn’t been able to keep pace long enough to compensate. In short, they look overwhelmed.

This matchup also leans heavily Minnesota’s way historically: The Wolves have won and covered 3 of the last 5 meetings. Factor in the home-court edge, Minnesota’s defensive intensity, and the Kings’ continued slide, and this projects as another lopsided result.

With the Wolves playing their best basketball of the season and Sacramento searching for answers, backing Minnesota to win big is the clear play.

BET OVER 239.5 (-110).

These teams have gone Over in 6 straight meetings, including their Nov. 10 clash where Minnesota routed Sacramento 144-117, a massive 261-point total. The Kings are pushing tempo hard, playing at the third-fastest pace in the league over the past 5 games, and their defense has been equally extreme—allowing 124.5 points per game, 28th in the NBA.

With the Timberwolves also hitting the Over in 4 of their last 5, and Sacramento doing so in 6 of its last 8, all signs point toward another high-scoring shootout.

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