Dec. 6, 2025, 12:37 p.m. ET
The Sacramento Kings (5-17) visit the Miami Heat (14-9) on Saturday. Tip-off from Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida is at 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Kings vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Kings won 2-0
The Kings have lost their last 4 games and are only 2-12 in their last 14 contests. They last played Wednesday, getting blown out 121-95 by the Houston Rockets as 15.5-point road underdogs with the Under (231) cashing. C Max Raynaud and G Malik Monk each scored 25 in a losing effort. They’re running without F Domantas Sabonis (knee).
The Heat recently had a 6-game winning streak, but they have lost 3 of their last 4 and their last two games. They lost Friday to teh Orlando Magic 106-105 as 7-point road underdogs with the Under (241) cashing. F Bam Adebayo missed a shot at the buzzer for the win, but he also moved into third place on Miami’s all-time list with his 24 for the game.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Kings at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Kings +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Heat -325 (bet $325 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Kings +8.5 (-115) | Heat -8.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Kings at Heat key injuries
Kings
C Domantas Sabonis (knee) outG Dennis Schroder (hip) out)
Heat
(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)
G Tyler Herro (toe) doubtfulG Norman Powell (ankle) questionableG Terry Rozier III (personal) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Kings at Heat picks and predictionsPrediction
Heat 114, Kings 103
Miami is 10-2 at home this season, while the Kings are 2-10 in away games, and the Heat are 3-0 in games on the back end of a back-to-back.
The Heat are 3-1 this season against the Pacific Division, and the Kings are simply not playing well.
The Heat should win, but the -325 odds don’t win you enough to make it worth your while.
PASS.
Eleven of the Kings’ last 12 losses have been by at least 9 points, and 4 of the Heat’s last 8 wins have been by more than 8 points. Half of Miami’s 14 wins this season have been by fewer than 9 points.
With a 14-9 ATS mark for Miami, which matches their straight-up win-loss record a and 7-14-1 ATS mark for Sacramento, only slightly better than their actual record, we can look at Miami’s 2-1 ATS record on no rest to give us the edge.
BET HEAT -8.5 (-105).
Only 2 of the Kings’ last 10 games have reached 240 total points. Four of the last 6 games and 6 of the last 10 for the Heat have not. One of their 2 meeting did last season, but that game went into overtime.
BET UNDER 239.5 (-110).
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
Our team of savvy editors independently handpicks all recommendations. If you purchase through our links, the USA Today Network may earn a commission. Prices were accurate at the time of publication but may change.
Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose.  While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling.  We do our best to make sure all the information that we provide on this site is correct. However, from time to time mistakes will be made and we will not be held liable. Please check any stats or information if you are unsure how accurate they are. No guarantees are made with regards to results or financial gain. All forms of betting carry financial risk and it is up to the individual to make bets with or without the assistance of information provided on this site and we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of following the betting tips provided on this site.  Past performances do not guarantee success in the future and betting odds fluctuate from one minute to the next. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice.
Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws.