Sunday’s slate ofWeek 7games wraps up with theAtlanta Falcons visiting the San Francisco 49ers.
The Falcons have won two straight and are coming off an impressive win versus the Buffalo Bills. The 49ers, meanwhile, suffered a road loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week.
Joe Fortenbaugh, Pamela Maldonado and Eric Moody offer their picks, prop plays and analysis to help you bet Sunday’s game.
Note: Odds at time of publication. For the latest updates, visit ESPN BET.
Game bets
Fortenbaugh: This total opened at 45.5 and rose to 47.5 for good reason. It’s unlikely either defense puts forth a stellar display. San Francisco is down its top two defenders in Nick Bosa and Fred Warner and ranks 26th in pass rush win rate. Meanwhile, Atlanta is playing outside for just the second time this season, with the first resulting in a 30-0 blowout loss at Carolina. It’s worth noting that the Falcons are traveling across the country on a short week with the league’s 18th-ranked pass rush.
Maldonado: Both offenses move the ball but stall when it matters. Atlanta is third in plays per game, yet sits 27th in scoring, while San Francisco is top 10 in yards but bottom 10 in touchdowns per drive. The 49ers’ run game has vanished, averaging just 3.1 yards per carry and faces a Falcons defense allowing 18% of drives to end in touchdowns. Atlanta’s style, slow pace, heavy run rate and clock control limits possessions, and both teams are top five in time of possession. This projects as a low-scoring grind.
Notable player props, bets
Moody: Penix has surpassed this line in three of five games, going under against the Vikings and Panthers, which makes sense, as both defenses have done a solid job limiting explosive passing plays. The same can’t be said about the 49ers. And to make matters worse, San Francisco’s defensive front ranks 23rd in pass rush win rate. Penix should have plenty of time to attack the 49ers’ vulnerable secondary behind an offensive line that ranks seventh in pass block win rate.
Loza: London seems to have found a groove in his past pair of outings, posting double-digit receiving yards versus Washington and Buffalo. Robust volume has helped boost his production. In fact, London’s 33% target share for the season ranks third among wide receivers. Expect London’s numbers to stay elevated in what’s projected to be a close and decently high-scoring game. London should flirt with six grabs and 80 yards.
Betting trends
Courtesy of ESPN Research
San Francisco is 0-3 ATS in its past three as a home favorite.
The 49ers are 11-0 on the over following a loss since 2024.
The Falcons are 6-14 ATS in their past 20 games as underdogs.
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