Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings odds, tips and betting trends

Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings odds, tips and betting trends | 1/20/2026

The Miami Heat (22-21) will hope to end a four-game road losing streak when visiting the Sacramento Kings (12-31) on Tuesday, January 20, 2026 at Golden 1 Center, airing at 10 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and NBCS-CA.

The Heat are a 3.5-point favorite against the Kings when Heat and Kings hit the court. The matchup’s over/under is set at 238.5.

Heat vs. Kings betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 11:30 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Miami -3.5Total: 238.5Moneyline: Miami -161, Sacramento +136Watch this game on Fubo!Heat at Kings odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (- 3.5)Pick OU: Under (238.5)Prediction: Heat 120 – Kings 114MoneylineThe Heat have been the moneyline favorite 18 total times this season. They’ve gone 11-7 in those games.Miami has gone 9-7 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -161 or shorter (winning 56.2%).The Heat have an implied moneyline win probability of 61.7% in this matchup.The Kings have entered the game as underdogs 39 times this season and won nine, or 23.1%, of those games.Sacramento has a record of 8-26, a 23.5% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +136 or more by oddsmakers this season.The moneyline for this contest implies a 42.4% chance of a victory for the Kings.Against the spreadThe Heat score 119.3 points per game, only 1.2 fewer points than the 120.5 the Kings give up.When Miami puts up more than 120.5 points, it is 16-2 against the spread and 14-4 overall.When it scores more than 118.3 points, Sacramento is 10-2 against the spread and 7-5 overall.Miami has an ATS record of 7-3-1 and an 8-3 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 110.6 points.The Heat are at the fifth spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (119.3 PPG), while the Kings allow the 27th-fewest points per game (120.5) in the league.The 28th-ranked scoring NBA team (110.6 PPG) is Sacramento, while the Miami squad ranks 23rd in the league defensively (118.3 PPG).The Heat have out-scored their opponents by a total of 44 points this season (1.0 point per game on average), and opponents of the Kings have out-scored them by 425 more points on the year (9.9 per game).Over/UnderMiami’s average implied point total this season is 0.5 more points than its implied total in Tuesday’s game (121.5 implied points on average compared to 121 implied points in this game).This season, Miami has scored more than 121 points in a game 18 times.Sacramento’s average implied point total on the season (120.7 points) is 2.7 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (118 points).How to watch Heat vs. KingsWatch this game on Fubo!

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