College Football Betting Preview: San Jose State vs USC
San Jose State take on USC in a Week 0 matchup at LA Memorial Coliseum, with kickoff scheduled for 15:00 on Saturday, August 29.
Why is the Total Line so Big?
We’ve identified a betting angle for USC vs San Jose State on the totals. Our prediction is Under 61.5 points which can be backed at odds of -114.
USC 56-28 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting
San Jose State Spartans closed the 2025 regular season with a 41-14 home loss to Fresno State Bulldogs at CEFCU Stadium.
USC Trojans finished last season with a 30-27 loss to TCU Horned Frogs in the Alamo Bowl at Alamodome.
Head-to-Head Statistics
USC won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 56-28 triumph when facing San Jose State at LA Memorial Coliseum.
San Jose State vs USC Prediction & Picks
Get ready for San Jose State vs USC with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.
Game Prediction
Under 61.5 points looks like an attractive total wager. The teams might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this college football pick at -114.
We put solid research behind every CFB pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.
Key San Jose State vs USC stats:
The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 San Jose State games on the road.The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 San Jose State games.The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 San Jose State games.The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 USC games at home.The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 USC games.The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 USC games.Under 61.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. However, we have this figure at close to 60% based on our in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
If you want bigger odds for your Under wager, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better payout.
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Our Game Prediction
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 27, 21:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 21:25, 27 August 2026
Player Prop Picks
Jayden Maiava (USC) is available at -149 to score a TD. Based on all the evidence, we’re happy to back him to punch it in on the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.
Latest Jayden Maiava Player Prop Odds
Touchdown
Passing Yards
Rushing Yards
You can back Zacharyus Williams (USC) at -114 to end with fewer than 33.5 receiving yards. He could struggle to reach the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.
Latest Zacharyus Williams Player Prop Odds
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Correct Score Prediction
There’s a massive payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Trojans to enjoy a 45-13 victory which will hopefully go close.
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San Jose State vs USC Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Not Prepared to Lay USC
Some sportsbooks won’t be offering Moneyline wagering for this college game considering San Jose State are massive underdogs. Many bettors like to consider the Spread as an alternative, with this suiting all types of bankroll.
The current spread is 38.5 and the total points line is 61.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 61.5 at -110.
Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
King Miller Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer
There’s the chance to back King Miller at +360 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to record the last TD instead.
Touchdown
King Miller (USC)
Waymond Jordan (USC)
Tanook Hines (USC)
Jayden Maiava (USC)
Receiving Yards
Tanook Hines (USC)
Zacharyus Williams (USC)
Rushing Yards
Micro Betting
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
LA Memorial Coliseum
Can USC Make It Another Home Victory?
USC have strung together seven in a row at LA Memorial Coliseum. They are 9-1 in their last 10 home games, averaging 40.60 points on offense and surrendering 21.40 on defense.
San Jose State have come up short in their last six on the road. They have one win and nine losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 21.20 points per matchup and giving up 34.40.
USC beat San Jose State 56-28 when the teams last met at LA Memorial Coliseum.
USC Home Stats
9-1
62.00
40.60
21.40
5
5
San Jose State Away Stats
1-9
55.60
21.20
34.40
3
7
W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O61.5 = Games Over 61.5 Points
U61.5 = Games Under 61.5 Points
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
San Jose State Spartans Stats
USC Stats
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games
+38.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
+38.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
-38.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
-38.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 57.20 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 55.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 61.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 61.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.60 pts and allowed 33.60 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.20 pts and allowed 34.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 54.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 62.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 61.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 61.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.00 pts and allowed 24.90 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 39.90 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 home games
Expert Analysis by Joshua Davis
College Football Analyst
About the Analyst
Our American football previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and produced under the oversight of our American Football Panel and Editor-in-Chief.
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Our college football analysis blends injuries, roster availability and matchup context with recent results, home/away splits, pace/tempo and market movement. We use metrics such as EPA (Expected Points Added), Success Rate and Pressure Rate alongside opponent-adjusted efficiency ratings to assess overall team strength and expected game flow, while factoring in situational variables like weather and travel.
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This preview was last updated on Aug 29, 03:44 to reflect the latest injury reports, depth chart news, expected inactives, matchup news, weather conditions, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts, supported by proprietary internal models, advanced performance metrics and reviewed by our NFL/NCAAF Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
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