The San Diego State Aztecs (9-2, 6-1 Mountain West) and New Mexico Lobos (8-3, 5-2) meet Friday at University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA football odds around the San Diego State vs. New Mexico odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

San Diego State leads the all-time series 29-16, although New Mexico won the most recent meeting Nov. 8, 2024, in San Diego, 21-16, as a 1.5-point underdog as the Under (65) cashed.

San Diego State won 25-3 last week at home against the San Jose State Spartans, covering as 10-point favorites as the Under (51) cashed. RB Lucky Sutton ran for 79 yards and a TD, while RB Christian Washington had 70 yards and a score.

The Aztecs defense has been dominant, allowing 10 or fewer points in 5 of the past 6 games, and 7 of the previous 9 outings. The Under is on a 5-0 run, with San Diego State going 8-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 9 outings.

New Mexico topped the Air Force Falcons 20-3 on the road last week as 3.5-point favorites as the Under (53) cashed. UNM QB Jack Layne threw for 105 yards, while running for 24 yards a score, while RB Damon Bankston racked up 61 yards and a score.

The Lobos defense has been surprisingly fierce lately, too, allowing 17 or fewer points in 3 of the past 4 games. The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Watch NCAA football on Fubo!San Diego State at New Mexico odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): San Diego State -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | New Mexico +100 (bet $100 to win $100)Against the spread: San Diego State -1.5 (-105) | New Mexico +1.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)San Diego State at New Mexico picks and predictionsPrediction

New Mexico 20, San Diego State 16

NEW MEXICO (+100) is worth a look at even-money at home, as it looks for its ninth victory of the season.

San Diego State travels to Albuquerque looking to do what nobody has been able to do – win. The Lobos are 5-0 straight up (SU) at home this season, but just 2-2 ATS in 4 home games against FBS opponents. The Aztecs were blasted 38-6 at the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in their most recent road game, and they’re 3-2 SU/ATS in 5 road outings this season.

New Mexico +1.5 (-110) is more expensive to take the little bit of points. If you like the Lobos, just take them straight up. It’s tough to go against a San Diego State -1.5 (-110) team which is 8-1 ATS in the past 9 games, but just go with it.

PASS.

UNDER 41.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board, even though it’s a super low number.

The Under is 5-0 in the past 5 games for the Aztecs, winning 4 of those games despite scoring 25 or fewer points in each outing. That’s because the defense has allowed 7 or fewer points in the 4 victories.

The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for the Lobos, too, allowing 17 or fewer points in 3 of the past 4 outings.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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