Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings odds, tips and betting trends

Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings odds, tips and betting trends | 12/6/2025

The Sacramento Kings (5-17) will be looking to halt a four-game losing streak when hitting the road against the Miami Heat (14-9) on Saturday, December 6, 2025 at Kaseya Center. It airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and NBCS-CA.

The Heat hit the court as 8-point favorites against the Kings. The point total for the game is set at 239.5.

Heat vs. Kings betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 3:29 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Miami -8Total: 239.5Moneyline: Miami -321, Sacramento +257Watch this game on Fubo!Kings at Heat odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (- 8)Pick OU: Under (239.5)Prediction: Heat 126 – Kings 112MoneylineThe Heat have compiled a 7-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 70% of those games).Miami has played as a moneyline favorite of -321 or shorter twice this season, and won both.Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 76.2%.This season, the Kings have won three out of the 19 games, or 15.8%, in which they’ve been the underdog.Sacramento has a record of 2-7, a 22.2% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +257 or more by sportsbooks this season.The moneyline for this contest implies a 28.0% chance of a victory for the Kings.Against the spreadThe Heat score the same amount of points as the Kings give up (122.8).Miami is 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall when scoring more than 122.8 points.Sacramento is 4-2 against the spread and 3-3 overall when it scores more than 117.9 points.Miami has an ATS record of 5-2-1 and a 6-2 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 111 points.The Heat are at the second spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (122.8 PPG), while the Kings allow the 27th-fewest points per game (122.8) in the league.Sacramento is the NBA’s 28th-ranked offense (111 PPG), while Miami is the 21st-ranked defense (117.9).The Heat have totaled 113 more points than their opponents this season (4.9 per game on average), while the Kings have been out-scored by 260 total points (11.8 per game average differential).Over/UnderMiami’s average implied point total this season is 2.3 fewer points than its implied total in Saturday’s game (121.7 implied points on average compared to 124 implied points in this game).So far this season, Miami has put up more than 124 points 10 times.Sacramento’s average implied point total on the year (121.3 points) is 5.3 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (116 points).How to watch Heat vs. KingsWatch this game on Fubo!

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