Dec. 11, 2025, 9:14 a.m. ET

The Denver Nuggets (17-6) visit the Sacramento Kings (6-18) on Thursday. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California, is at 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nuggets lead 2-1

The Nuggets have won 3 games in a row and are 9-0 in their last 9 road games. They last played Sunday, a 115-106 road win over the Charlotte Hornets as 10.5-point favorites with the Under (235.5) cashing. They have won 5 of 8 games since F Aaron Gordon was sidelined with a hamstring injury.

The Kings have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming off a 116-105 road loss Monday to the Indiana Pacers as 4-point underdogs with the Under (232) cashing.

The Kings beat the Nuggets in their last meeting, a 128-123 win in Denver Nov. 22 as 11-point underdogs as the Over (240.5) cashed. Denver won the first 2 meetings — 130-124 at home Nov. 3 and 122-108 at Sacramento Nov. 11.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Nuggets at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:04 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Kings +375 (bet $100 to win $375)Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -10.5 (-102) | Kings +10.5 (-118)Over/Under (O/U): 240.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Nuggets at Kings key injuries

Nuggets

G Christian Braun (ankle) outF Aaron Gordon (hamstring) outG Julian Strawther (back) out

Kings

G Zach LaVine (thumb) outC Domantas Sabonis (knee) outG Dennis Schroder (hip) doubtful

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Kings picks and predictionsPrediction

Nuggets 129, Kings 121

The Nuggets are 11-2 on the road and have won their last 9 away games. They are 4-0 vs. the Nuggets in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento. The Kings are only 3-7 at home this season and are 1-6 in their last 7 at Golden 1 Center.

Without Sabonis, the Kings don’t have anyone to slow Nikola Jokic, who had 44 in the last meeting. The Kings won that game, but it was the Nuggets’ first without Gordon in the lineup after his injury. Denver is 5-2 without Gordon since then.

Expect a Denver win, but the spread is the better value for this game.

PASS.

The Kings are 3-14-1 ATS in their losses this season. They are 2-1 ATS against the Nuggets.

The Nuggets are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites.

BET KINGS +10.5 (-118).

The Over is 2-1 in the 3 meetings between the Kings and Nuggets, with both of the games hitting the Over finishing with over 250 total points.

Seven of the Nuggets’ last 8 games have had totals of at least 240. Only 2 of the last 10 for the Kings has reached 240. One is their win over the Nuggets.

BET OVER 238.5 (-110).

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