However, the outlier cases do exist, and we may have that with Air Force men\u2019s basketball<\/a>. <\/p>\n The Falcons are 3-17 this season and have covered the point spread just once over the past seven games.<\/p>\n Air Force is winless in the Mountain West at 0-9, while also serving as a conference punching bag for bettors. <\/p>\n The Falcons are just 3-6 against the spread (ATS) in those conference games and that mark could easily be 0-9.<\/p>\n Two of their covers have come by a half-point and the other was by 1.5 points.<\/p>\n Meanwhile, their six losses have come by an average of 31.0 points.<\/p>\n Air Force hosts Fresno State on Saturday as a 10-point underdog with a total of 135 points, at time of writing.<\/p>\n The Bulldogs are nowhere near the Mountain West\u2019s top tier but they should still be able to dominate this game. <\/p>\n Plus, they are coming off back-to-back losses, so it is a strong situational spot to back them.<\/p>\n The metrics also suggest Air Force will struggle to score.<\/p>\n Its adjusted offensive rating ranked 357th out of 365 teams at KenPom.com<\/a> entering Friday, while Fresno State\u2019s defense ranked 72nd.<\/p>\n Betting on College Basketball? <\/p>\n I anticipate the Falcons being held to about 55 points.<\/p>\n The Bulldogs lack a dominant offense but teams tend to shine against the Falcons, especially when they\u2019re in desperate need of a win. <\/p>\n This should be a convincing win.<\/p>\n![\"A](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AP_Fresno_St_San_Diego_St_Basketball_14822-fbb6f-0.jpg\")
Fresno State forward Deshawn Gory dribbles during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against San Diego State Saturday, Jan. 10, 2026, in San Diego. AP<\/p>\n