{"id":213094,"date":"2026-03-10T13:18:06","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T13:18:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/213094\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T13:18:06","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T13:18:06","slug":"california-dems-launch-polling-effort-to-winnow-gubernatorial-field","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/213094\/","title":{"rendered":"California Dems launch polling effort to winnow gubernatorial field"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>As anxiety mounts among California Democrats about the potential of a Republican being elected governor, the state party will spend hundreds of thousands of dollars on polling to assess the viability of the sprawling field of candidates hoping to replace termed-out Gov. Gavin Newsom, according to plans released Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>The move comes after nearly <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2026-03-05\/anxiety-grows-among-california-democrats-as-gubernatorial-candidates-rebuff-calls-to-drop-out\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">every Democratic candidate refused<\/a> <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2026-03-03\/california-democratic-leader-urges-weak-gubernatorial-hopefuls-to-bow-out\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">party leaders\u2019 call last week to withdraw<\/a> from the race to avoid splitting the vote in the June primary \u2014 an outcome that could lead to a Republican being elected to statewide office for the first time in two decades.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCandidates have filed, and now they\u2019ve got the opportunity to showcase their viability, their path to win. I want to simply ensure that everybody has information to fully understand the current state of the race,\u201d said Rusty Hicks, the leader of the California Democratic Party. <\/p>\n<p>As campaign season ramps up, the series of six polls will allow \u201ccandidates, supporters, the media, voters, anyone and everyone to have a clear understanding of what is or is not happening in this particular race,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>The filing deadline to appear on the June 2 ballot was Friday. Three days earlier, Hicks released an open letter urging candidates who did not have a path to victory to withdraw from the race. Of the nine prominent Democrats who had announced runs for governor, only one heeded his call: former state Assembly Majority Leader Ian Calderon.<\/p>\n<p>That means the eight other candidates\u2019 names will appear on the ballot, regardless of whether they decide to later drop out. And that creates the possibility of a Republican winning the race because of how California elections are decided. <\/p>\n<p>The state has a voter-approved top-two primary system, under which the two candidates who receive the most votes in the June primary advance to the November general election, regardless of party.<\/p>\n<p>Two prominent Republicans will appear on the ballot: former conservative commentator Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco. Even though Democratic voters outnumber Republicans nearly 2 to 1, and the state\u2019s electorate last elevated Republicans to statewide office in 2006, it is mathematically possible for Democrats to splinter the vote, allowing the two GOP candidates to advance.<\/p>\n<p>Under such a scenario, not only would Republicans be guaranteed the leadership of the nation\u2019s most-populous state, but Democratic voter turnout also would probably be depressed in November, potentially affecting down-ballot races such as those <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2026-03-09\/candidates-scramble-after-redistricting-shakes-up-california-congressional-races\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">that could determine control<\/a> of Congress.<\/p>\n<p>Hicks\u2019 call last week prompted concerns among candidates of color, including former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra and state Supt. of Public Instruction Tony Thurmond, that the effort was aimed at every nonwhite candidate in the race.<\/p>\n<p>The state party chairman responded that his letter was not aimed at any specific candidate.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s not something I lose sleep over,\u201d Hicks said when asked about the racial claims. But he added that the voter surveys will be conducted by Los Angeles-based Evitarus, the state\u2019s only Black- and Latino-led full-service polling firm, and will oversample historically underrepresented communities: Latino, Black and Asian American voters.<\/p>\n<p>Hicks said the polling will cost \u201cmultiple six figures\u201d but did not specify the exact amount.<\/p>\n<p>The first poll will be released on March 24, and then five additional surveys will come out every seven to 10 days until voters start receiving mail ballots in early May.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re putting this forward to ensure everyone is armed with the information they need to clearly have an eyes-wide-open assessment of where the state of the race currently is between now and when ballots land in the mailboxes of voters,\u201d Hicks said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"As anxiety mounts among California Democrats about the potential of a Republican being elected governor, the state party&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":213095,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[7167,7,2340,9,8,97882,13540,91321,76423,943,97881,51761,97880,2211,6214,88115,4486,1522],"class_list":["post-213094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-california","tag-ballot","tag-california","tag-california-democrats","tag-california-headlines","tag-california-news","tag-call-last-week","tag-candidate","tag-current-state","tag-democratic-voter","tag-governor","tag-gubernatorial-field","tag-party-leader","tag-prominent-republicans","tag-race","tag-republican","tag-rusty-hicks","tag-vote","tag-voter"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213094","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=213094"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213094\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/213095"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=213094"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=213094"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=213094"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}