{"id":214654,"date":"2026-03-11T10:18:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T10:18:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/214654\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T10:18:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T10:18:08","slug":"california-2026-poll-swalwell-takes-lead-in-governor-primary-25-undecided-election-for-la-mayor-wide-open","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/214654\/","title":{"rendered":"California 2026 Poll: Swalwell Takes Lead in Governor Primary, 25% undecided; Election for LA Mayor Wide Open"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A new Emerson College Polling\/Inside California Politics survey of the June primary for Governor finds Congressman Eric Swalwell leading the open primary with 17%, followed by Steve Hilton (13%), Tom Steyer (11%), Chad Bianco (11%), and Katie Porter (8%). A quarter of voters, 25%, are undecided.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"561\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-6-1024x561.png\" alt=\"\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\u201cRep. Swalwell\u2019s support increased among Democratic voters in the past month from 23% to 27%, along with Tom Steyer, whose support among this group also increased from 12% to 16%,\u201d Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. \u201cA plurality of the independent electorate is undecided (39%), while 12% support Swalwell and Hilton respectively, and Republicans are split between Hilton (38%) and Bianco (34%).\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In the Los Angeles election for Mayor, a majority of voters are undecided (51%). Incumbent Democratic Mayor Karen Bass enters her re-election campaign with 20% support, followed by reality television star Spencer Pratt (10%), Councilwoman Nithya Raman (9%), entrepreneur Adam Miller (4%), and housing advocate Rae Huang (3%).<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDemocrats are split between Mayor Bass and Nithya Raman; 27% support Bass and 14% Raman, while 29% of Republican voters support Spencer Pratt,\u201d Kimball noted. \u201cIndependents are largely undecided at 67%, along with 49% of Democrats and 37% of Republicans, indicating this race could shift dramatically come June.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Governor Gavin Newsom holds a 45% job approval rating among California likely voters, up one point from <a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/california-2026-poll-hilton-swalwell-bianco-lead-nonpartisan-primary-for-governor\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">February<\/a>, while 40% disapprove of the job he is doing. President Donald Trump holds a 28% job approval, while 64% disapprove of the job he is doing in office. Mayor Karen Bass holds a 24% job approval rating among Los Angeles voters, while 47% disapprove of the job Bass is doing.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Statewide, 48% of voters think California is headed in the right direction, while 52% think the state is on the wrong track. Los Angeles voters are evenly split: 50% think the state is heading in the right direction, and 50% think it is on the wrong track.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"494\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-4-1024x494.png\" alt=\"\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>The top issue for California voters continues to be the economy (37%), followed by housing affordability (22%), threats to democracy (11%), immigration (8%), and healthcare (7%).<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"561\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-5-1024x561.png\" alt=\"\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>A majority of California voters (53%) think the issue of homelessness is getting worse, 33% think it is staying the same, and 15% think it is getting better.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Voters were asked if they are more concerned or more excited about Artificial Intelligence (AI): 57% are more concerned, 20% more excited, and 23% feel neither.<\/p>\n<p>A majority of voters, 64%, want the next Governor of California to stand up to the Trump administration, while 36% would rather they work with the Trump administration.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Among voters who want the next Governor to work with the Trump administration, 36% support Hilton for Governor, 31% Bianco, and 19% are undecided.<\/p>\n<p>Among voters who want the next Governor to stand up to the Trump administration, 25% support Swalwell for Governor, 15% Steyer, 12% Porter, and 28% are undecided.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Forty-one percent of California voters have made a financial tradeoff in order to pay for groceries or food in the past year, while 59% have not.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Methodology<\/p>\n<p>The Emerson College California survey was conducted March 7-9, 2026. The sample of California likely voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll\u2019s margin of error (MOE), of +\/- 3 percentage points. The sample of Los Angeles likely voters consists of a sample size of n=350 with a credibility interval of +\/- 5.2%. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, and education based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.<\/p>\n<p>It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race\/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll\u2019s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Data was collected by contacting a voter list of cellphones via MMS-to-web text and email, voter lists provided by Aristotle. Additional online panel responses were collected via PureSpectrum; panel responses were matched to the Aristotle voter file using respondents\u2019 full name and ZIP code. The survey was offered in English. <\/p>\n<p>All questions asked in this survey with exact wording and order, along with full results, demographics, and cross tabulations can be found below. The survey is sponsored by Nexstar Media.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A new Emerson College Polling\/Inside California Politics survey of the June primary for Governor finds Congressman Eric Swalwell&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":214655,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[7,9,8],"class_list":{"0":"post-214654","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-california","8":"tag-california","9":"tag-california-headlines","10":"tag-california-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/214654","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=214654"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/214654\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/214655"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=214654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=214654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=214654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}