{"id":263611,"date":"2026-04-12T06:00:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-12T06:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/263611\/"},"modified":"2026-04-12T06:00:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-12T06:00:09","slug":"a-look-at-california-resources-crc-valuation-as-mixed-models-signal-conflicting-fair-value-estimates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/263611\/","title":{"rendered":"A Look At California Resources (CRC) Valuation As Mixed Models Signal Conflicting Fair Value Estimates"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Make better investment decisions<\/a> with Simply Wall St’s easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge.<\/p>\n

California Resources (CRC) has drawn attention after recent trading, with the stock last closing at $66.55 and posting mixed short term moves, including a roughly 0.8% gain over the past month.<\/p>\n

See our latest analysis for California Resources.<\/a><\/p>\n

That mixed recent trading sits against a stronger backdrop, with a 30 day share price return of 8.26%, a 90 day share price return of 46.55% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 100.16%. This points to momentum that has been building rather than fading.<\/p>\n

If you are looking beyond California Resources, this could be a useful moment to see what else is gaining attention across energy and infrastructure through our 30 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks<\/a><\/p>\n

With California Resources trading at $66.55, sitting at a reported intrinsic discount of about 62% and around 21% below analyst targets, the question becomes whether the stock is still undervalued or whether the market is already pricing in future growth.<\/p>\n

California Resources’ most followed narrative sets a fair value of about $63.31 per share, a little below the latest $66.55 close, which frames the current debate around the stock.<\/p>\n

Analysts have trimmed their price target on California Resources to $63 from about $66, citing updated assumptions that now reflect modestly positive revenue growth, stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a reduced future P\/E multiple.<\/p>\n

What is in the News Read the complete narrative.<\/a><\/p>\n

If you want to see what sits behind that fair value cut, the narrative leans on shifting revenue expectations, higher margins, and a sharply lower future earnings multiple. The question is how those moving parts still support a value near today’s price.<\/p>\n

Result: Fair Value of $63.31 (OVERVALUED)<\/p>\n

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.<\/a><\/p>\n

However, there is still clear execution risk from uncertain California permitting and environmental obligations, such as plugging a high volume of older wells each year.<\/p>\n

Find out about the key risks to this California Resources narrative.<\/a><\/p>\n

While the most popular narrative pegs fair value around $63.31 and frames California Resources as about 5% overvalued at $66.55, the SWS DCF model presents a very different picture. On that cash flow view, fair value sits near $175.07 per share, which implies the current price is well below that estimate.<\/p>\n

This kind of gap between an earnings based narrative and a cash flow model raises a key question for you: which set of assumptions feels more realistic over the long run?<\/p>\n

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.<\/a><\/p>\n

\"CRC<\/a> CRC Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026 <\/p>\n

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out California Resources for example<\/a>). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist<\/a> or portfolio<\/a> and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 58 high quality undervalued stocks<\/a>. If you save a screener<\/a> we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.<\/p>\n

With mixed views on value, this is a good moment to move quickly, review the underlying data, and form your own stance using the 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs<\/a>.<\/p>\n

If you stop with just one stock, you could miss opportunities that better match your goals. Use the screener to quickly surface ideas that fit your style.<\/p>\n

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.<\/p>\n

Companies discussed in this article include CRC<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch<\/a> with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Make better investment decisions with Simply Wall St’s easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge. California…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":221755,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[7,9,8,10545,115629,115628],"class_list":["post-263611","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-california","tag-california","tag-california-headlines","tag-california-news","tag-fair-value","tag-investment-decisions","tag-stock-screener"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263611","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=263611"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263611\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/221755"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=263611"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=263611"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=263611"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}