{"id":317985,"date":"2026-05-15T23:39:17","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T23:39:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/317985\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T23:39:17","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T23:39:17","slug":"new-polling-suggests-republicans-could-miss-general-election-in-california-governor-la-mayor-races-annenberg-media","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/317985\/","title":{"rendered":"New polling suggests Republicans could miss general election in California governor, LA mayor races \u2013 Annenberg Media"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"c-paragraph\">For the past year, Democrats have worried that with no clear frontrunner in the race for California governor, that so many Democratic candidates in the field could pave the way for two Republicans to advance to the general election. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">New polling suggests that the opposite may occur. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">In California, the top two candidates regardless of party affiliation advance to the general election. A new <a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/california-2026-poll-becerra-continues-to-surge-steyer-and-hilton-compete-for-second-spot\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/california-2026-poll-becerra-continues-to-surge-steyer-and-hilton-compete-for-second-spot\/\">Emerson College poll<\/a> released May 13, showed Democrat Xavier Becerra leading the pack with 19%, Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer each received 17% support. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Becerra\u2019s support increased nine percentage points since Emerson College\u2019s April poll. Steyer\u2019s support increased three percentage points, while Hilton remained stagnant at 17%. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">\u201cI don\u2019t spend a lot of time on polls to be honest,\u201d Steyer told Annenberg Media during a press gaggle May 13. \u201cI feel like they move around, I don\u2019t trust them. My job really is to try and see as many Californians face to face and listen to their story and make sure I understand what\u2019s going on in their lives and in this state.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Republican Chad Bianco received 11% support, Democrat Katie Porter received 10%, Matt Mahan garnered 9%, Antonio Villaraigosa received 4% and Tony Thurmond received 1%. Twelve percent of voters remain undecided, according to the survey. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">\u201cMany Democrats were enormously worried of the possibility that there would be two Republicans at the top of the ticket in the June elections, and that the bluest or one of the bluest states in the country would end up with two Republican candidates to choose from,\u201d said Kamy Akhavan, managing director of the USC Center for the Political Future. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">\u201cIt looks like, based on this latest polling from Emerson, that that ain\u2019t gonna happen,\u201d he said. \u201cMost likely, at least one Democrat who makes it to the top two, and possibly two Democrats at the top.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">In the race for Los Angeles mayor, which is nonpartisan, current Mayor Karen Bass received 30% support, Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman received 22% and 19% support, respectively. Both candidates hope to advance to the runoff in November. Sixteen percent of voters remain undecided, down from 51% in <a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/california-2026-poll-swalwell-takes-lead-in-governor-primary-25-undecided-election-for-la-mayor-wide-open\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/california-2026-poll-swalwell-takes-lead-in-governor-primary-25-undecided-election-for-la-mayor-wide-open\/\">the same poll in March<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Akhavan said that it would be tough for Bass not to advance to November with the money her campaign has, her endorsements and executive experience. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">He said the question is who advances with her. In Los Angeles, if a candidate receives more than 50% support in the June election, they win the race outright. Based on current polling numbers, that does not seem likely. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Akhavan said Pratt is running a strong social media campaign, and came off as a clear communicator in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=-83WHHCKZDY\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=-83WHHCKZDY\">NBC 4 Los Angeles debate<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">\u201cInitially, most political pundits and politicos thought Spencer Pratt\u2019s campaign was not serious, and he has demonstrated with his performance in that last debate and with his polling numbers that he does need to be taken seriously,\u201d Akhavan said. \u201cHe has a real shot of making it to the top two, despite the fact that, yes, he\u2019s a reality television star, and he said some silly things while on television.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"For the past year, Democrats have worried that with no clear frontrunner in the race for California governor,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":317986,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[2975,3702,7,2926,1453,9,8,3705,132885,28687,1751,204,35072,17361,118701,146,47,5436,51488,132887,4421,80054,17529,1748,88,43125,17382,64880,25299,23894,3533,132886,3707],"class_list":["post-317985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-california","tag-2975","tag-antonio-villaraigosa","tag-california","tag-california-governor","tag-california-governors-race","tag-california-headlines","tag-california-news","tag-campaign","tag-campaign-2026","tag-chad-bianco","tag-democrats","tag-election","tag-election-2026","tag-emerson-college","tag-emerson-college-polling","tag-katie-porter","tag-los-angeles","tag-los-angeles-city-council","tag-los-angeles-mayor","tag-los-angeles-mayor-election","tag-matt-mahan","tag-nithya-raman","tag-polling","tag-republicans","tag-san-jose","tag-spencer-pratt","tag-steve-hilton","tag-the-hills","tag-tom-steyer","tag-tony-thurmond","tag-usc","tag-usc-center-for-the-political-future","tag-xavier-becerra"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/317985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=317985"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/317985\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/317986"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=317985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=317985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=317985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}