mid-May<\/a>, Becerra\u2019s support increased by nine percentage points, Steyer\u2019s by five, Hilton\u2019s by four, and Bianco\u2019s by one. Support for Democrats Katie Porter and Matt Mahan dropped by five and three points, respectively.\u00a0<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-21-1024x517.png\")
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\u201cBecerra has built support among key Democratic constituencies, at 44% among Democrats, 36% among Hispanics, and 36% among women, while Hilton has consolidated a majority of the Republican vote with 59%, though 29% support Bianco,\u201d Kimball added. \u201cSteyer is the favorite among voters under 30 at 36%, and remains competitive among white voters at 25%.\u201d<\/p>\n
About 3 in 4 (74%) of voters say they will definitely support the candidate they chose, while 26% say there is still a chance they could change their mind come Election Day and support a different candidate.<\/p>\n
88% of Hilton voters will definitely support him, while 12% could change their minds.<\/p>\n
88% of Bianco voters will definitely support him, while 12% could change their minds.\u00a0<\/p>\n
76% of Becerra voters will definitely support him, while 24% could change their minds.<\/p>\n
74% of Steyer voters will definitely support him, while 26% could change their minds.<\/p>\n
61% of Mahan voters will definitely support him, while 39% could change their minds.<\/p>\n
48% of Porter voters will definitely support her, while 52% could change their minds.<\/p>\n
Methodology<\/p>\n
The Emerson College Polling California survey was conducted May 27-28, 2026. The overall sample of likely primary voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll\u2019s margin of error (MOE), of +\/- 3 percent. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party registration, and region based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Data was collected by contacting registered voters from a voter file provided by Aristotle using MMS text-to-web; a probability-based panel of voters provided by Consensus Strategies using MMS text-to-web; and additional panel interviews provided by PureSpectrum. All respondents were recruited using customized links that prevent responses from anyone outside of the poll\u2019s sample frame. Panel responses were matched to the Aristotle voter file using respondents\u2019 full name and ZIP code. The survey was administered using QuestionPro, and the survey was offered in English.\u00a0<\/p>\n
It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race\/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll\u2019s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.\u00a0<\/p>\n
All questions asked in this survey with exact wording and order, along with full results, demographics, and cross tabulations can be found below.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The final Emerson College Polling\/Inside California Politics survey of the California governor\u2019s race finds Democrat Xavier Becerra leading…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":339101,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[7,9,8],"class_list":["post-339100","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-california","tag-california","tag-california-headlines","tag-california-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/339100","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=339100"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/339100\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/339101"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=339100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=339100"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=339100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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