{"id":340626,"date":"2026-05-31T21:12:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-31T21:12:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/340626\/"},"modified":"2026-05-31T21:12:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T21:12:11","slug":"john-seiler-xavier-becerra-looks-to-be-next-governor-of-california-daily-democrat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/340626\/","title":{"rendered":"John Seiler: Xavier Becerra looks to be next governor of California \u2013 Daily Democrat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Say hello to California Gov. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.xavierbecerra2026.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Xavier Becerra<\/a>. As the June 2 election approaches, it\u2019s looking like he will finish either first or second in that top-two contest, then cruise to victory in the Nov. 3 runoff.<\/p>\n<p>After ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell <a href=\"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/politics\/2026\/04\/swalwell-congress-resignation\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">dropped<\/a> out in April from a personal scandal, the state\u2019s Democratic Establishment coalesced around Becerra because of his impeccable pedigree: California Assembly, U.S. House member, state attorney general and secretary of Health and Human Services in the administration of Joe Biden.<\/p>\n<p>A PPIC <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ppic.org\/publication\/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-may-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">poll<\/a> released Thursday showed Becerra in first place with 23%, Republican former Fox News host Steve <a href=\"https:\/\/stevehiltonforgovernor.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Hilton<\/a> 20%, Democratic billionaire Tom Steyer 15%, Republican Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco 13% and former Orange County Rep. Katie Porter 12%.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The key: This is a top-two race. Even if Hilton pops above Becerra on Tuesday, it won\u2019t matter in the Nov. 3 runoff. That\u2019s because there\u2019s no indication Hilton can rise above the average 40% ceiling for statewide Republicans. Term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/2022_California_gubernatorial_election\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">opponents<\/a> won 38% in 2018 and 41% in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>A problem Hilton will face is the factor that pushed him above Bianco among Republicans: the endorsement of President Donald Trump. PPIC found just 30% of likely voters approved of the chief executive\u2019s job performance.<\/p>\n<p>Democratic operatives are well aware of that. They have worried the top-two system might cough up as finalists Hilton and Bianco, both Republicans. Solution: Three campaign mailers that Republican friends and I received that look like attacks on Hilton but actually boost him.<\/p>\n<p>One showed a picture of Trump pointing to Hilton, above this: \u201cWARNING: REPUBLICAN STEVE HILTON IS DONALD TRUMP\u2019S CHOICE FOR CALIFORNIA GOVERNOR.\u201d The fine print: \u201cPaid for by Greater Golden State, Opposing Hilton for Governor 2026.\u201d Cagovtracker.com <a href=\"https:\/\/cagovtracker.com\/candidates\/steve-hilton\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">lists<\/a> contributions including $1 million from the national Democratic Governors Association, $500,000 from the California Nurses Association and $250,000 from the SEIU California State Council for Working People.<\/p>\n<p>To prevent a top-two shutout in the future, Democratic political operative Steve Maviglio earlier this month <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/California_Repeal_Top-Two_Primary_System_Initiative_(2028)\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">filed<\/a> the initial paperwork for an initiative on the 2028 ballot to repeal top-two. However, the PPIC poll found 59% like the current system.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This election also is a big disappointment for Steyer, who campaigned as the billionaire who wants to ramp up his own taxes to impose single-payer health insurance. AP <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/politics\/billionaire-tom-steyers-ad-spending-breaks-records-in-california-governors-race\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reported<\/a> May 27 he blew $195 million so far on ads. That topped the paltry $178.5 million Republican billionaire Meg Whitman <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/whitman-spends-1785m-on-failed-calif-govs-race\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">spent<\/a> in 2010 losing to Democrat Jerry Brown, 54% to 41%.<\/p>\n<p>Say what you will about California voters, they\u2019re not impressed by oligarchs flashing cash.<\/p>\n<p>PPIC also found voters split on a likely Nov. 3 initiative requiring voter ID and citizenship requirements, 49% yes to 51% no. That will bring national attention and donations.<\/p>\n<p>The likely initiative to impose a 5% tax on the wealth of billionaires is leading, 54% to 46%. But that\u2019s before the billionaires pour tens of millions into opposition, blasting it with wording such as, \u201cNot another tax increase for Californians.\u201d SEIU United Healthcare Workers West, which launched the initiative, along with other unions, soon realized their money would be better spent on other campaigns, such as defeating voter ID.<\/p>\n<p>The Legislature and Newsom currently are working toward the June 15 deadline for the 2026-27 state budget. The poll found 55% prefer \u201cpaying lower taxes and having a state government that provides fewer services\u201d than getting gouged more for supposedly extra services. Newsom\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailydemocrat.com\/2026\/05\/31\/john-seiler-xavier-becerra-looks-to-be-next-governor-of-california\/blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">May Revision<\/a> to his January budget proposal tallied $16.5 billion in unexpected revenues from the artificial intelligence boom.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s getting around that the state is overflowing in tax revenues, paid for by overworked Californians, but spends it badly.<\/p>\n<p>In 2022, Newsom barely acknowledged his Republican opponent, then-state Sen. <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Brian_Dahle\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brian Dahle<\/a>. He deigned to submit to a single <a href=\"https:\/\/www.c-span.org\/program\/campaign-2022\/california-gubernatorial-debate\/618049\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">debate<\/a>, two weeks before the election.<\/p>\n<p>Hilton has raised crucial issues about Newsom\u2019s overspending, low state K-12 test scores, high taxes choking the middle class, high gas prices and the endemic housing and homelessness crises.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Becerra should agree to 10 debates. Voters deserve that.<\/p>\n<p>John Seiler is on the SCNG Editorial Board<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Say hello to California Gov. Xavier Becerra. As the June 2 election approaches, it\u2019s looking like he will&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":321644,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[7,9,8,111828,179,181,23,100,180,975],"class_list":["post-340626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-california","tag-california","tag-california-headlines","tag-california-news","tag-columnists","tag-community","tag-latest-headlines","tag-local-news","tag-news","tag-newsletter","tag-opinion"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/340626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=340626"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/340626\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/321644"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=340626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=340626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=340626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}