{"id":348367,"date":"2026-06-05T18:46:11","date_gmt":"2026-06-05T18:46:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/348367\/"},"modified":"2026-06-05T18:46:11","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T18:46:11","slug":"why-cant-california-count","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/348367\/","title":{"rendered":"Why can\u2019t California count?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>Scenes from the Xavier Becerra primary watch party. Justin Sullivan\/Getty Images.<\/p>\n

One mode we sometimes use at Silver Bulletin is \u201cNate\u2019s bad tweets, explained.\u201d (Here\u2019s an example<\/a>.) But when I expressed my frustration<\/a> with California\u2019s incredibly slow vote-counting process earlier this week, I was surprised at how little dissent there was from Democrats, Republicans, or pretty much anyone.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Of course, we might want to analyze the implications of California\u2019s elections on Tuesday under the state\u2019s top-two primary system<\/a>. But we can\u2019t do that because we\u2019re on the third day since the election and the finish line is not in sight yet for several key races.<\/p>\n

Rather than editorialize too much further, though, we assigned Eli to pull some data. Indeed, California is even more of a negative outlier than I\u2019d realized. \u2013Nate Silver<\/p>\n

by Eli McKown-Dawson<\/p>\n

It\u2019s been three days since the polls closed in California\u2019s primary elections<\/a>, and we still don\u2019t have race calls for governor<\/a>, Los Angeles mayor<\/a>, and for multiple salient US House contests<\/a>. Did all of those races come down to a few hundred votes and get bogged down in recounts and litigation? Nope. Was there an earthquake or Succession-esque ballot fire<\/a> that threw vote counting into chaos? Also no.<\/p>\n

In fact, this outcome was entirely expected. And that\u2019s the whole problem.<\/p>\n

Before Election Day, many newsrooms put out similar articles explaining that tight races \u201ccould take days or even weeks\u201d to call<\/a>. That\u2019s because California is notoriously slow at counting its ballots. In 2024, it took California until November 8 (three days after Election Day) to get just <\/a>70<\/a> percent of its ballots counted<\/a>. Across all 50 states, the average share of the vote counted by that date was more than 95 percent, putting California squarely in last place. Rest assured, The Golden State did eventually hit that 95 percent mark\u2026 a full 10 days later.<\/p>\n

Of course, statewide general elections \u2014 like those for president, governor, and US Senator \u2014 are called quickly in California, even though the vote count is slow, because the state isn\u2019t particularly competitive. But close races are another story. In 2024, races for California\u2019s 22nd and 27th districts took weeks to call <\/a>\u2014 and the 13th District took about a month! The country has frequently had to wait on California<\/a> to see which party won control of the House.<\/p>\n

Share<\/a><\/p>\n

That would seem to indicate there are major issues with California\u2019s election administration, or at least some minor issues that need improvement, right? Not according to California Secretary of State Shirley Weber. \u201cI know the value of being fast for some folks,\u201d she told CalMatters<\/a>. \u201cFor me, accuracy is far more important.\u201d She\u2019s not alone. There\u2019s an attitude in some (mainly Californian and mainly Democratic) circles that California\u2019s slow vote counting is indicative of a state that takes its time to carefully count every vote and ensure maximum accessibility<\/a>. Here\u2019s Democratic gubernatorial candidate Tom Steyer on election night<\/a>: \u201cIt might take some time to figure out where this is going. We\u2019re going to wait until every ballot is counted. We\u2019re going to give democracy time to work.\u201d<\/p>\n

To be fair, there are real reasons why you\u2019d expect California\u2019s count to take longer than other states. One explanation you\u2019ll hear often is that the state is massive. With nearly 40 million residents<\/a>, California would rank as the 4th largest economy in the world<\/a> if it were treated as a country. Los Angeles County alone has a larger population than 40 states<\/a>. California also sends a mail ballot to every registered voter and most voters \u2014 about 80 percent in 2024<\/a> \u2014 do choose to vote by mail. Those ballots take more time to tabulate, in part because election workers need to verify that the signature on each mail ballot matches the signature on file for that voter<\/a>.<\/p>\n

And California is quite permissive about when those mail ballots need to arrive. As long as the ballot is postmarked by Election Day, it can arrive up to one week later and still be counted<\/a>. That means election offices will be getting new primary ballots to count through next Tuesday. Those late ballots don\u2019t just slow down the count; they can also produce strange-looking results with blue or red skews. In this primary, Democrats on average returned their ballots later than Republicans<\/a>, so the first-counted results from Election Day and early mail ballots were significantly redder than the eventual final result will be<\/a>.<\/p>\n

But none of these factors have anything to do with the accuracy Weber cares about. Vote tabulation is highly accurate across all 50 states<\/a>, even those that manage to count everything on election night. And none of them are particularly good enough excuses to explain the extent of California\u2019s slowness.<\/p>\n

I went to college in another large state: Florida. When you talk to election officials in The Sunshine State, the 2000 election always looms large. Aside from butterfly ballots<\/a> and recounts<\/a>, the big story is how Florida\u2019s election administration improved after that trainwreck. Fast forward 25 years, and Florida now manages to count 99 percent of its ballots within a few hours of polls closing, in part because election officials can process ballots before the polls close<\/a>. And they are able to accomplish this feat of incredible speed with a sizable proportion of mail votes \u2014 about 27 percent in 2024<\/a>.<\/p>\n

California likes to tout that it\u2019s larger than many countries<\/a>, but most developed countries are able to wrap up nationwide elections more quickly than California can tabulate its votes. Colombia held a presidential election on Sunday<\/a>, and 99.98 percent of the result was in on Monday morning. Japan also counts most of its votes overnight<\/a>. And in the UK (not exactly a poster child for state capacity), you can generally expect to have calls for all 650 parliamentary seats the morning after the election<\/a>.<\/p>\n

How about India? It\u2019s one of the few places that can claim to have even more complexities than California. In fact, elections there are conducted in multiple stages<\/a>. But it did manage to count 640 million votes in a day<\/a> in 2024 once the final phase was over.<\/p>\n

Indeed, the more you scrutinize this, the fewer excuses California has. It is not the state with the most mail voting<\/a>, nor is it the state with the latest mail ballot return deadline<\/a>. Mail-voting states such as Oregon, Washington, and Colorado count slowly relative to the US average, but they\u2019re all faster than California.<\/p>\n

As The New York Times Editorial Board pointed out earlier this year<\/a>, Colorado is able to mail ballots to all registered voters while maintaining speedy counting in part because it limits late ballots to exceptional circumstances (such as military troops outside the state). That might sound \u201cuninclusive,\u201d but the share of California ballots rejected for lateness moved from just 0.5 percent in 2012 (before the one-week grace period was implemented) to \u2026 the exact same 0.5 percent in 2022<\/a>. You can make voting accessible without bending over backward to accommodate the tiny share of people affected by extending the mail ballot receipt deadline.<\/p>\n

What about accuracy and overall quality of election administration? California comes up short there too. There\u2019s no evidence that voter fraud or other election administration issues are any less prevalent in California than in faster counting states. Based on the Elections Performance Index<\/a> \u2014 a project that compares election administration quality across states \u2014 California ranked 41st in 2024. So the state isn\u2019t slower and better: it\u2019s slower and (often) worse.<\/p>\n

The fallback argument is that speed just doesn\u2019t matter, and the only people who care about California\u2019s weeks of counting are election junkies (guilty as charged) and conspiracy theorists worried about voter fraud. Of course, that\u2019s true to some extent. Many Californians are fine with their timely presidential and statewide decisions, and don\u2019t care that the insurance commissioner primary still hasn\u2019t been called<\/a>. But these delays do contribute to voter fraud conspiracy theories. Don\u2019t believe me? Here\u2019s the President of the United States<\/a> early yesterday morning:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

In a rare moment of bipartisanship, Gov. Gavin Newsom agreed, writing in a letter to election officials<\/a> that \u201cWe must acknowledge that the longer the voting count takes, the more mis- and disinformation spreads.\u201d Intuitively, that makes sense, especially when there\u2019s a partisan dimension to when voters return their ballots. It\u2019s unlikely that Democrats will get locked out of California\u2019s 6th district<\/a>, but right now, the Democratic candidate is in third place because only 53 percent of the vote is in<\/a>. That\u2019s confusing if you aren\u2019t glued to election Twitter<\/a>. There\u2019s also evidence that longer-than-expected vote-counting times can reduce trust in elections<\/a>.<\/p>\n

It doesn\u2019t have to be this way. And the solution is not to stick your head in the sand and say that anyone who complains about California\u2019s sluggishness is fueling conspiracy theories. The state has taken some baby steps \u2014 counties now have to finish counting most ballots in 13 days instead of 30<\/a> \u2014 but it\u2019s not nearly enough. Even putting aside inclusivity concerns, California simply counts the ballots it has too slowly<\/a>, and its elections offices are underfunded<\/a>. If you want people to be confident in your electoral system, a good first step is to build one that works properly instead of adding yet another example to the \u201cCalifornia is a failed state\u201d pile.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Scenes from the Xavier Becerra primary watch party. Justin Sullivan\/Getty Images. One mode we sometimes use at Silver…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":348368,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[7,9,8],"class_list":["post-348367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-california","tag-california","tag-california-headlines","tag-california-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/348367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=348367"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/348367\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/348368"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=348367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=348367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=348367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}