The number of Californians without health insurance could nearly double by 2030, according to a new report from the UC Berkeley Labor Center and the UCLA Center for Health Policy Research.<\/p>\n
The report projects that 2.2 million additional Californians under 65 years old will lose health insurance by 2030, reaching a total of 4.6 million uninsured state residents. The uninsured rate will rise to nearly 14.7%, the report also estimates.<\/p>\n
The report modeled changes to Medi-Cal, California\u2019s Medicaid program, and Covered California, the state\u2019s health insurance marketplace. Some of these changes come from Gov. Gavin Newsom\u2019s 2025-2026 Budget Act, such as an enrollment freeze for undocumented Medi-Cal enrollees 19 years old and over. Other changes come from the federal One Big Beautiful Bill Act, such as the elimination of federal full-scope Medicaid for refugees, asylees and other humanitarian immigrants.<\/p>\n
Some of the policies, such as the Medi-Cal enrollment freeze, were already implemented this year. Others won\u2019t be implemented until as late as July 2027.<\/p>\n
\u201cIf you vote on a policy that has an outcome that hurts people, and you\u2019re up for reelection in between when you voted for it and when the impacts are really felt, I think it\u2019s super important to show people, \u2018this is what\u2019s going to happen in your community because of the way that these folks voted,\u2019\u201d said Miranda Dietz, co-author of the report who serves as the director of the Health Care Program at the UC Berkeley Labor Center. \u201cThat should be a part of how our democracy works.\u201d<\/p>\n
To forecast the effects of these changes, researchers used the California Simulation of Insurance Markets, a micro-simulation model designed to estimate how federal and state policies will impact California residents\u2019 decisions to obtain insurance coverage and employers\u2019 decisions to offer coverage. The UC Berkeley Labor Center and the UCLA Center for Health Policy Research created the model in 2012 and originally used it to estimate the impact of the Affordable Care Act.<\/p>\n
In the report, researchers noted that state and federal healthcare insurance policy changes made in 2025 will \u201cerode much of the progress\u201d California has made to increase coverage since the ACA and subsequent state actions. The report adds that these changes will \u201cwiden disparities\u201d in healthcare coverage and particularly affect low-income, Latine and undocumented Californians who already face higher uninsured rates than the state average.<\/p>\n
\u201cI hope this helps to show just how deep these cuts would be and how much they would reverse a lot of the progress that this state has made in bringing down our uninsured rate and in covering people,\u201d Dietz said. \u201cI hope it\u2019ll help people realize what an important investment it is in Californians to provide health insurance.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The number of Californians without health insurance could nearly double by 2030, according to a new report from…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":361766,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[147056,1756,7,147058,4488,147059,1895,457,37117,83639,1755,16709,147057,143,145,144,46452,144811,147055],"class_list":["post-361765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-oakland","tag-2025-2026-budget-act","tag-affordable-care-act","tag-california","tag-california-simulation-of-insurance-markets","tag-californians","tag-calsim","tag-covered-california","tag-gavin-newsom","tag-health-care-program","tag-latine","tag-medi-cal","tag-medicaid","tag-miranda-dietz","tag-oakland","tag-oakland-headlines","tag-oakland-news","tag-one-big-beautiful-bill-act","tag-uc-berkeley-labor-center","tag-ucla-center-for-health-policy-research"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/361765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=361765"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/361765\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/361766"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=361765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=361765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=361765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}