{"id":380657,"date":"2026-06-30T14:05:11","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T14:05:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/380657\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T14:05:11","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T14:05:11","slug":"is-californias-unemployment-rate-really-10-the-mercury-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/380657\/","title":{"rendered":"Is California\u2019s unemployment rate really 10%? \u2013 The Mercury News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>California is a national unemployment leader, no matter how you do the math.<\/p>\n<p>But what does that really say about the state of the state\u2019s job market?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/29536294\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">My trusty spreadsheet<\/a> reviewed a spin on the traditional jobless rate to check on California\u2019s standing. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/lau\/stalt.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">This \u201cU-6\u201d measure<\/a>, as federal job counters call it, offers a broader view of workers\u2019 struggles to find decent jobs.<\/p>\n<p>This yardstick counts not only people who are actively looking for jobs \u2014 the basis for the traditional jobless tally \u2014 but it also includes \u201cdiscouraged\u201d folks who want a job but haven\u2019t looked recently. Plus, it counts the \u201cunderemployed\u201d \u2013 workers with part-time jobs who really want a full-time gig.<\/p>\n<p>Some folks say this is the \u201creal\u201d unemployment rate, but for this discussion, let\u2019s call it the worker disappointment rate.<\/p>\n<p>As of the third quarter of 2025, the latest stats available, California\u2019s disappointment rate was 10%. That\u2019s the highest in the nation and well above the national median of 7.3%.<\/p>\n<p>After California came Nevada at 9.6% and Michigan at 9.3%; the lowest disappointment rate was found in South Dakota at 4.6%, followed by Alabama and Vermont at 5.4%.<\/p>\n<p>Note that this job dissatisfaction measure wasn\u2019t exactly kind to California\u2019s economic arch-rivals either. Texas\u2019 7.9% rate ranked 17th-highest, while Florida\u2019s 7.4% ranked No. 25.<\/p>\n<p>On the decline<\/p>\n<p>The good news is that recent worker disappointment runs well below the 20-year average \u2013 statewide and nationally.<\/p>\n<p>The bad news for Californians is that the state has long ranked high on this chart. California\u2019s average rate of 13.4% since 2005 has tied Nevada for No. 1 among the states.<\/p>\n<p>Nationally, the disappointment rate ran at 10%. The 20-year lows were found in North Dakota at 5.8%, South Dakota at 6.4%, and Nebraska at 6.7%.<\/p>\n<p>And California\u2019s rivals? Texas\u2019 9.7% ranked No. 31, and Florida\u2019s 10.9% was No. 13.<\/p>\n<p>Not unexpected<\/p>\n<p>California\u2019s lofty disappointment grade mirrors its standing on the <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/graph\/?m=1WZX5\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">traditional unemployment scorecard<\/a>, which is derived from the same household surveys.<\/p>\n<p>A short-term lens shows California\u2019s 5.5% jobless rate for 2025\u2019s third quarter ranked second among the states while the national rate was 4%. Only the District of Columbia at 6.5% was higher.<\/p>\n<p>The lowest jobless rates were in South Dakota and Hawaii, at 2.1%. The rivals? Texas\u2019 4.2% ranked No. 21 and Florida\u2019s 4% ranked No. 26.<\/p>\n<p>Looking back over two decades, again we\u2019re seeing lower rates \u2013 with California still high on the scorecard.<\/p>\n<p>California\u2019s 7.1% average rate was above the national median of 5.6% and was topped only by Nevada\u2019s 7.5% among the states.<\/p>\n<p>The lowest was in North Dakota at 3%, South Dakota at 3.2% and Nebraska at 3.3%. The rivals? Texas\u2019 5.4% ranked No. 29, as Florida\u2019s 5.8% was No. 21.<\/p>\n<p>Bad job market?<\/p>\n<p>By jobless counts, California looks like a bad place for workers.<\/p>\n<p>But consider how many opportunities were created over the past two decades, <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/graph\/?m=1WZX0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">based on job counts taken from employer surveys<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>California added 2.9 million jobs over these 20 years, accounting for 12% of the national employment expansion of 23.9 million jobs. Only Texas added more at 4.5 million. Florida\u2019s 2.1 million was No. 3.<\/p>\n<p>But that\u2019s not a total surprise, as California is the nation\u2019s biggest job market. But look at the hiring pace, as a percentage of all employment, and you might be surprised to learn that California was an above-average job creator even when its economic heft was accounted for.<\/p>\n<p>Since 2005, California jobs have grown 19% \u2013 the 16th-fastest pace, just ahead of the nation\u2019s 18% growth. It seems that California workers are flexible enough to find the many new positions the state\u2019s employers create.<\/p>\n<p>Still, see what the top job creators did over 20 years: Utah (up 53%), Texas (up 46%) or Idaho (up 44%). And Florida\u2019s 27% growth ranked No. 10.<\/p>\n<p>How can this be?<\/p>\n<p>Unemployment figures are certainly a gauge of who\u2019s unhappy with the job market.<\/p>\n<p>And swings in joblessness can drive changes in everything from consumer sentiment to shopping patterns to bill-paying ability.<\/p>\n<p>But, curiously, higher joblessness seems to appeal to the many employers who prefer a wide selection of candidates to staff their operations. Low unemployment can stunt job growth.<\/p>\n<p>Plus, dynamic economies that create significant employment opportunities often require noteworthy risk-taking. But when certain business ideas don\u2019t pan out, job losses are created.<\/p>\n<p>So, think about the past two decades and rank the states by their worker disappointment rate \u2013 then eyeball their job creation.<\/p>\n<p>Bosses in the 17 states with the highest levels of worker disappointment added 10 million jobs, representing 18% employment growth.<\/p>\n<p>Compare that to the 17 states with low disappointment: only 3.4 million jobs created, or 14% growth.<\/p>\n<p>Or ponder this economic puzzle this way.<\/p>\n<p>Five of the 10 fastest-growing job markets since 2005 \u2013 Nevada, Washington, Arizona, Florida and North Carolina \u2013 were states with a high disappointment rate.<\/p>\n<p>Just three of the Top 10 growth states \u2013 Idaho, Utah and North Dakota \u2013 came from the lowest disappointment rates.<\/p>\n<p>California isn\u2019t some oddity. Elevated joblessness, discouragement or underemployment doesn\u2019t always mean a state has a bad job market.<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Lansner is the business columnist for the Southern California News Group. He can be reached at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mercurynews.com\/2026\/06\/30\/is-californias-unemployment-rate-really-10\/mailto:jlansner@scng.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">jlansner@scng.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"California is a national unemployment leader, no matter how you do the math. But what does that really&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":380658,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[389,184,387,7,9,8,332,383,13965,1286,181,1338,100,143,13,88,198,200],"class_list":["post-380657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-california","tag-alameda-county","tag-bay-area","tag-business","tag-california","tag-california-headlines","tag-california-news","tag-east-bay","tag-economy","tag-employment","tag-jobs","tag-latest-headlines","tag-morning-wire","tag-news","tag-oakland","tag-politics","tag-san-jose","tag-santa-clara-county","tag-south-bay"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380657","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=380657"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380657\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/380658"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=380657"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=380657"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=380657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}