{"id":388097,"date":"2026-07-06T17:22:11","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T17:22:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/388097\/"},"modified":"2026-07-06T17:22:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T17:22:11","slug":"all-our-yesterdays-giants-blue-jays-series-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/388097\/","title":{"rendered":"All Our Yesterdays: Giants-Blue Jays Series Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I just can\u2019t wait until the end of the season to do the final analysis of the San Francisco Giants\/Farhan Zaidi opting not to sign Kevin Gausman to an extension after the 2021 season. With the trade deadline less than a month away now and Robbie Ray almost certainly on the move, it\u2019s begging to be written right now.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">The history of the Giants getting burned by long-term pitching contracts is pretty spectacular. I don\u2019t know what moron opted to sign Barry Zito to that 7-year deal after the 2003 season, and if it was Larry Baer, it just goes to show what an untouchable and blessed man he is. But after that, extensions for Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain didn\u2019t provide value in the actual extension years. The Jeff Samardzija and Johnny Cueto deals were similarly hailed as massive failures that doomed the franchise. So, that\u2019s a pretty good sampling of failure, which ignores the context of all the success.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">That\u2019s pretty much what happened with Gausman. The Giants ignored the context of success or that the player wanted to remain in San Francisco or that he worked well with a burgeoning young pitcher already in the fold in Logan Webb. A couple of years later, Farhan Zaidi would be able to show his work and convince ownership that signing Webb to an extension in a similar AAV range as Gausman would be good for the team and they acquiesced\u2026 but they\u2019ve still bothered to let their disgruntlement echo through the halls of Oracle Park and into the curious ears of beat writers and pundits. It is known that the Giants don\u2019t favor, value, or want pitchers signed to big, long-term deals. It\u2019s why they were willing to let Madison Bumgarner walk after his deal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">When you\u2019re the sole team in a country as the Blue Jays are in Canada, it\u2019s not a big deal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">This isn\u2019t to say that the Giants totally have the wrong idea and high value, high payroll teams like the Blue Jays do, but before we look at Kevin Gausman and his Blue Jays teammates, let\u2019s finish this analysis. Kevin Gausman left the Giants and signed a 5-year, $110 million deal with the Toronto Blue Jays that started in 2022. Rather than re-sign him, the Giants went with Carlos Rod\u00f3n, Alex Cobb, and Robbie Ray. Here\u2019s how the plan has worked out over the past almost-five seasons:<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_19lkh3w1\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.mccoveychronicles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/105\/2026\/07\/Gausman-comp2.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"928\" data-pswp-width=\"1610\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"_8s7ip80\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Gausman-comp2.jpg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Now, the total amount for the Giants\u2019 side of the equation is based on two assumptions: that the Giants, owing Alex Cobb $10 milion for 2024, saved about $3.333 million the rest of the season after trading him away to the Guardians before he\u2019d finished his rehab; and, that in trading Robbie Ray with approximately two months to go in 2026, they will have paid Robbie Ray $16.7 million and gotten half a win above replacement out of him (yes, this is envisioning a trade before his next start).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">So, if all this holds, the Giants\u2019 missed it by\u2026 an awful lot. From a straight money perspective, they were off by just about $2 million, and for most wagon circling front office lovers out there that might be more than enough to still bother to affirm the previous regime\u2019s \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mccoveychronicles.com\/2024\/9\/30\/24258435\/a-projectable-end-san-francisco-giants-farhan-zaidi-tenure-reflection-21st-century-baseball\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">genius<\/a>,\u201d but the substantive part of the analysis \u2014 that wins above replacement total \u2014 is a big whiff. The Giants were so afraid of committing long-term to a pitcher out of fear of injuries or ineffectiveness that they wound up acquiring THREE pitchers with injury histories and 2\/3 of them saw their production hampered by injuries. This was some penny wise, pound foolish nonsense and I\u2019m glad we all got to experience it. Farhan Zaidi, encouraged by ownership, attempted to recreate Kevin Gausman in the aggregate so that the Giants could have a formidable 1-2 punch at the top of their rotation, and the team failed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Anyway, this post\u2019s headline is a reference <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=p14TNMitoWs\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">to the penultimate episode of Star Trek: The Original Series<\/a>, which was about Kirk, Spock, and McCoy beaming down to a planet that was about to be obliterated by its star going supernova after getting signs of life. Upon beaming down, they discover that the entire civilization has devised a time travel technology that will allow every single person to escape into their planet\u2019s past to live out their lifespans and not have to be lost to the supernova.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">It\u2019s a good enough episode that if it had been the series finale it would\u2019ve been a good one to go out on \u2014 certainly better than the actual finale, the genuinely awful and misogynistic \u201cTurnabout Intruder\u201d \u2014 but as a talking point for the 2026 San Francisco Giants it carries exactly this weight: as nice as it is to escape into the past to avoid a terrible future, the punishing nature of the major league schedule and the cruel passage of time prevents that from happening.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">We\u2019ll never know if re-signing Gausman would\u2019ve worked out as well as it did for the Blue Jays and if that working out would\u2019ve meant a couple more winning seasons interspersed in the last 5 seasons, and as nice as it would be to escape into that past or that reality, the supernova is here and the Giants must once again ask if the rules they\u2019ve self-imposed that have brought them into its path were of any use. Hmm, why bother wondering. Powerful, successful people have made these rules. They can\u2019t fail, they can only be failed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">But I can\u2019t be totally critical. Since 2020, when the Blue Jays kicked off this latest competitive window, their pitching staff (with or without Gausman) hasn\u2019t been as valuable as the Giants, trailing the orange and black 82.2 to 94.1 Sure, they have a better record over this same span (514-446 to 494-465) and four postseason appearances including a World Series loss, but the Giants have had the better pitching \u2014 or, at least, Logan Webb along with their aggregate approach has mostly worked.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Not this year, of course. This year has been an unmitigated disaster. Not much the Giants have done has worked.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">That\u2019s sort of what\u2019s happened with the Blue Jays. They\u2019ve done all the things a big market\/high-spending team is supposed to do: build through the draft and international signings, developing talent through the farm system, retaining the most valuable farm players with long-term deals and supplementing the roster with free agents. They signed Vladimir Guerrero to a 14-year, $500 million deal last April. Gausman was brought in to be the #2 behind Alek Manoah, and when that didn\u2019t work out, he\u2019s managed to be the steadiest pitcher behind whoever was considered \u201cthe ace,\u201d ascending to that role in the 2025 World Series year. This year, he\u2019s part of a three-headed monster with Trey Yesavage (drafted) and Dylan Cease (free agent).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Still, with all that talent at the top of the rotation, Toronto\u2019s pitching staff is a lot closer to middle of the pack (13th in fWAR). Compounding problems is that their lineup just hasn\u2019t clicked. Their 92 wRC+ is just 23rd. They are second to last in runs scored (356), making them the lowest-scoring team in the American League. The cause? Well, they let Bo Bichette go and 36-year old George Springer won\u2019t replicate 35-year old George Springer\u2019s 32 home run season of 2025. The team\u2019s power dropoff is precipitous and their team batting line compared to last year \u2014 keeping in mind that the 2025 squad is the type of lineup the Giants seem to want \u2014 is stark:<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">2025: .265\/.333\/.427 (.162 ISO), 8.4 BB%, 17.8 K%<br \/>2026: .244\/.306\/.382 (.139 ISO), 7.4 BB%, 20.0 K%<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Walking less, striking out more, hitting for less power, making less contact \u2014 a bad recipe that makes a bad lineup, which is just what Toronto has had. Since getting back to 39-39 a few weeks ago, they\u2019ve gone 3-9 thanks to averaging just 3 runs per game. They\u2019ve been shutout in 3 of their last 5 games including 2 straight. They were 3-7 on their last homestand.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">This team still has playoff aspirations. The Giants do not.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Who: San Francisco Giants (37-52) vs Toronto Blue Jays (42-48)<br \/>Where: Oracle Park | San Francisco, California<br \/>When: Monday &amp; Tuesday at 6:45pm PT, Wednesday at 12:45pm PT<br \/>National broadcasts: Peacock (Sunday)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Projected starters<br \/>Monday: Landen Roupp (RHP 5-8, 4.55 ERA) vs. Kevin Gausman (RHP 4-7, 4.19 ERA)<br \/>Tuesday: TBD vs. Trevor McDonald (RHP 3-6, 4.42 ERA)<br \/>Wednesday: Logan Webb (RHP 5-6, 3.66 ERA) vs. Dylan Cease (RHP 5-4, 2.79 ERA)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Vladimir Guerrero Jr.:  Vlad Guerrero has yet to homer at home this season! That has no bearing on this series, necessarily, but it\u2019s an interesting factoid. He has just 4 all season anyway and a very bad .698 OPS to boot. <a href=\"https:\/\/go.skimresources.com\/?id=1025X1734621&amp;xs=1&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mlb.com%2Fbluejays%2Fnews%2Fthe-mystery-behind-vladimir-guerrero-jrs-career-worst-slump\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Baseball Savant took a look at Vladito\u2019s power drought<\/a> and found some reasons to think he\u2019s due for a turnaround in-season. You\u2019d like to think that the slump would linger a little longer, though. He\u2019s played at Oracle Park just twice in his career (2019 &amp; 2024) and the two homers he\u2019s hit came in 2019. He was 1-for-13 in the 2024 series.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Tyler Rogers: Why didn\u2019t I make the whole series preview about the Tyler Rogers\u2019 return? Well, because he\u2019s got two more years left on his deal. Instead, Buster Posey will get to watch the funky submariner attack Giants hitters and see if the organization\u2019s familiarity with him gives any of the hitters an edge. Rogers has allowed 0 homers in 42 appearances (40.2 IP). Toronto\u2019s closer, Louis Varland (18 saves, 2.2 fWAR) has allowed just 1 in 47 IP.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Ernie Clement: I am not the only one who remembers how he absolutely obliterated the Giants at Oracle Park back in that 2024 series. Total annihilation. He was 5-for-11 with 2 homers and 7 RBI. Both of his homers were 3-run homers, one off of Ryan Walker and another off of Logan Webb, both of whom he\u2019ll face in this series. But! He\u2019s just 13-for-55 in his last 16 games (.236\/.276\/.273) with only 2 extra base hits (doubles) and a single RBI.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Logan Webb: Can the Giants\u2019 ace get back on track after a disastrous start in Coors Field or have the wheels come off the season and now it\u2019s all about turning to next season?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Rafael Devers: He has 24 career homers against Toronto across 108 games and 449 plate appearances. A career .927 OPS hitter in the matchup. His two homers yesterday gave him 18 on the season which ties him with Manny Machado, Shohei Ohtani, Juan Soto, and CJ Abrams \u2014 good company. Half of them have come since June 15th\u2026<a href=\"http:\/\/www.mccoveychronicles.com\/san-francisco-giants-analysis\/107809\/rafael-devers-wont-get-much-better-than-this-san-francisco-giants-trade#comments\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> the day I published a post assessing Devers\u2019 present and projecting his future<\/a>. I didn\u2019t think he\u2019d be much better than around the league average. Since that post went up, he\u2019s hit .306\/.386\/.790 (70 PA), an 11.4 BB%, and 20 K% \u2014 far, far better than the league. Is he reading my posts???<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Heliot Ramos: He\u2019s got a couple of homers in 7 games off the IL with a 6.9 BB% and surprising 17.2 K%. Whether or not the Giants trade him is irrelevant. He\u2019s an easy Giant to root for and if he\u2019s back on track, really fun to watch.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Kevin Gausman will strike out some Giant at least twice. Tyler Rogers will get a pair of strikeouts in at least one appearance. Jung Hoo Lee will hit a home run.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"I just can\u2019t wait until the end of the season to do the final analysis of the San&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":388098,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[101,107062,103,102,104,106,105],"class_list":["post-388097","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-san-francisco","tag-san-francisco","tag-san-francisco-giants-game-information","tag-san-francisco-headlines","tag-san-francisco-news","tag-sf","tag-sf-headlines","tag-sf-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388097","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=388097"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388097\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/388098"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=388097"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=388097"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=388097"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}