{"id":412194,"date":"2026-07-25T18:49:12","date_gmt":"2026-07-25T18:49:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/412194\/"},"modified":"2026-07-25T18:49:12","modified_gmt":"2026-07-25T18:49:12","slug":"trade-deadline-outlook-san-diego-padres","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/412194\/","title":{"rendered":"Trade Deadline Outlook: San Diego Padres"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Padres might have the widest range of outcomes this deadline. They have the sport\u2019s most unpredictable baseball operations leader. They\u2019re expected to officially get new ownership a few weeks after August 3, potentially expanding their payroll capabilities. It\u2019s a top-heavy roster with a couple high-impact trade chips, a bunch of bloated contracts, and a clear need for controllable starting pitching. The only shocking outcome would be if they don\u2019t do anything at all.<\/p>\n<p>San Diego started strong despite a punchless offense and a lack of depth in an injury-riddled rotation. They rode an excellent bullpen to a 19-11 start through the end of April. A four-game win streak in the middle of May pushed them a season-high 11 games above .500 at 29-18, briefly moving them ahead of the Dodgers in the NL West.<\/p>\n<p>They\u2019ve crashed to earth since then. Only the A\u2019s have a worse record than San Diego\u2019s 22-35 mark since May 19. They\u2019ve dropped five of eight since the All-Star Break. While the Padres\u2019 star hitters have gotten hot after dramatically underwhelming starts, San Diego\u2019s pitching has now completely crumbled. Not only has the rotation been overmatched \u2014 which was inevitable given the personnel \u2014 but a handful of injuries and a heavily worked middle relief group have undercut the bullpen\u2019s effectiveness.<\/p>\n<p>The Padres are the toughest team to beat if they\u2019re holding a lead in the ninth inning. They just can\u2019t get there consistently enough. The division hopes are long gone and they\u2019ve dropped four games back in the Wild Card picture. That\u2019s not an insurmountable gap, but they have five teams to jump with half a major league pitching staff.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s not likely to happen internally even if they get some injury reinforcements down the stretch. They\u2019ll need to acquire starting pitching, which probably requires trading off the MLB roster. The Padres have one top prospect, Double-A catcher <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=salas-000eth&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ethan Salas<\/a>. No one else from their system lands among the game\u2019s best minor league talents at <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/rankings\/2026-top-100-prospects\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Baseball America<\/a>, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.fangraphs.com\/2026-pre-trade-deadline-top-100-prospects-update\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">FanGraphs<\/a> or <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7459011\/2026\/07\/23\/mlb-prospects-ranking-top-70-kade-anderson-jesus-made\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">The Athletic<\/a>. There\u2019s very little farm depth. BA <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/stories\/mlb-farm-system-midseason-talent-rankings-for-july-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">ranked<\/a> the San Diego system the weakest in the majors shortly before this month\u2019s amateur draft.<\/p>\n<p>The Padres either need to actively sell or walk a thin buy\/sell line that involves trading off the MLB roster for help in other areas. In either case, they should have plenty of conversations on a few impact trade chips.<\/p>\n<p>Record: 51-53 (9.2% playoff odds, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/standings\/playoff-odds\/fg\/div\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">per FanGraphs<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>(For other entries in this series, check out <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2026\/07\/2026-trade-deadline-outlook-series.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">this post<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>Sell Mode<\/p>\n<p>Potential Impending Free Agents:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/morejad01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Adrian Morejon<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/k\/kingmi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Michael King<\/a> (opt-out), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/f\/francty01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ty France<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/adamja01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jason Adam<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/buehlwa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Walker Buehler<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/matsuyu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Yuki Matsui<\/a> (opt-out), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/peralwa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Wandy Peralta<\/a> (opt-out), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/andujmi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Miguel Andujar<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/rengilu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Luis Rengifo<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/cannigr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Griffin Canning<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/marquge01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Germ\u00e1n M\u00e1rquez<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/giolilu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Lucas Giolito<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=hart--004kyl,hartky01&amp;search=Kyle+Hart&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kyle Hart<\/a> (club option),\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/l\/laurera01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ram\u00f3n Laureano<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Note: If\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/pivetni01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Nick Pivetta<\/a> doesn\u2019t return from the injured list by August 22, the remaining two years and $32MM on his contract \u2014 both of which are player options \u2014 would convert to a $14MM club option.<\/p>\n<p>Controllable Trade Candidates:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=millema03,miller005mas&amp;search=Mason+Miller&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Mason Miller<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/e\/estraje01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jeremiah Estrada<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/rodribr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Bradgley Rodriguez<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/sheetga01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Gavin Sheets<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/campulu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Luis Campusano<\/a><\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve focused most of our attention throughout the deadline series on impending free agents. Those players are the most likely to move when a team falls out of contention. We\u2019ll make an exception in the Padres\u2019 case, as their deadline hinges so much around whether to shop Mason Miller.<\/p>\n<p>San Diego has three and a half seasons of arbitration control over baseball\u2019s best closer. They\u2019re one year removed from surrendering\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=devrie000leo&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-07-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Leo De Vries<\/a> (one of the five best prospects in the sport) to acquire him. Miller is on track for one of the greatest reliever seasons in history, going 26-26 in save chances with a 0.84 ERA while striking out almost half his opponents. The Padres would only move him for a monster return, almost certainly a bigger prospect package than any other player will net this deadline season. He\u2019s their best opportunity to land a controllable starter for a rotation that has zero trustworthy arms locked into the 2027 staff.<\/p>\n<p>  <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"landing-logo no-border\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/landing-logo.png\" width=\"372\" height=\"63\"\/><br \/>\n  Unlock Subscriber-Exclusive Articles Like This One With a Trade Rumors Front Office Subscription<\/p>\n<p>  &#13;<br \/>\n    Access weekly subscriber-only articles by Tim Dierkes, Steve Adams, and Anthony Franco.&#13;<br \/>\n    Join exclusive weekly live chats with Anthony.&#13;<br \/>\n    Remove ads and support our writers.&#13;<br \/>\n    Access GM-caliber tools like our MLB Contract Tracker&#13;<\/p>\n<p>  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/membership?ref=904608\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Padres might have the widest range of outcomes this deadline. They have the sport\u2019s most unpredictable baseball&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":412195,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[74,76,75],"class_list":["post-412194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-san-diego","tag-san-diego","tag-san-diego-headlines","tag-san-diego-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/412194","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=412194"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/412194\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/412195"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=412194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=412194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=412194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}