{"id":426363,"date":"2026-08-07T11:43:01","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T11:43:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/426363\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T11:43:01","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T11:43:01","slug":"noaa-maintains-prediction-for-below-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/426363\/","title":{"rendered":"NOAA maintains prediction for below-normal Atlantic hurricane season"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC \">The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released an update to its <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/post\/2026-atlantic-hurricane-season-has-officially-begun\/19218567\/\" dir=\"ltr\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Atlantic hurricane season<\/a> forecast, saying its prediction for below-normal activity remains intact.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">NOAA dropped the number of <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/post\/national-hurricane-center-updates-forecast-products-ahead-2026-season\/19038389\/\" dir=\"ltr\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">predicted named storms<\/a> to seven to 13 (the previous prediction was eight to 14 storms). Two to six of those could become hurricanes, according to the agency, a drop of one from its forecast in late May. NOAA is now predicting zero to two major hurricanes, a drop from late May when the agency predicted one to three.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">NOAA is now predicting a 75% chance of below-normal activity; that&#8217;s up significantly from its previous forecast of a 55% chance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">It doesn&#8217;t take a major hurricane to do severe damage. So far this year, there have been two named storms, Arthur and Bertha, with Arthur bringing record rainfall and tornadoes to the Gulf Coast.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">\u201cThat\u2019s why it\u2019s important to prepare for every storm that\u2019s projected to impact your area, even if it never reaches hurricane strength,\u201d said NOAA\u2019s National Weather Service Director Ken Graham in a statement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">NOAA cites <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/post\/el-nio-is-strengthening-heres-what-means-us\/19506219\/\" dir=\"ltr\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">El Ni\u00f1o<\/a> as the main reason for the suppressed storm activity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">&#8220;When El Ni\u00f1o emerges, it usually becomes the dominant factor in total hurricane season activity, and this El Nino continues to get stronger every month,&#8221; said Matt Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA&#8217;s National Weather Service.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">NOAA said its late-May forecast for the Eastern Pacific remains the same. That region is expected to see above-average storm activity due to El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC eTIW sUzSN \"><a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/post\/noaa-release-2026-atlantic-hurricane-season-outlook-thursday-forecast-details-preparedness-tips-ahead-june-1-start\/19144129\/\" dir=\"ltr\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Atlantic hurricane season<\/a> runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. The peak of hurricane season tends to be mid-August through September.<\/p>\n<p>Copyright \u00a9 2026 ABC News Internet Ventures.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released an update to its Atlantic hurricane season forecast, saying&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":426364,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[169913,101,103,102,104,106,105],"class_list":["post-426363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-san-francisco","tag-169913","tag-san-francisco","tag-san-francisco-headlines","tag-san-francisco-news","tag-sf","tag-sf-headlines","tag-sf-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/426363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=426363"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/426363\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/426364"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=426363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=426363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=426363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}