{"id":433542,"date":"2026-08-15T06:32:22","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T06:32:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/433542\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T06:32:22","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T06:32:22","slug":"poll-voters-lean-no-on-california-voter-id-measure-split-on-billionaire-tax","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/433542\/","title":{"rendered":"Poll: Voters lean \u2018no\u2019 on California voter ID measure, split on billionaire tax"},"content":{"rendered":"

A poll released Friday by UC Berkeley’s Institute of Governmental Studies shows voters aren’t sold<\/a> on a proposed billionaire tax<\/a> or a voter ID initiative<\/a> set to appear on their ballots this November.<\/p>\n

The poll found that 48% of likely voters would support Proposition 40, a proposed one-time, 5% tax on the assets of billionaires, while 41% said they would vote against it. Eleven percent remained undecided.<\/p>\n

The poll of 4,207 registered voters found that a majority \u2014 51% \u2014 plan to vote against Prop. 39, a constitutional amendment that would require voters to furnish government-issued ID before casting a ballot; 42% said they plan on voting “yes” on the measure.<\/p>\n

That’s a problem for backers of both measures, particularly months out from the election, according to IGS Poll Director Mark DiCamillo.<\/p>\n

“Usually undecided voters tend to break toward the ‘no’ side because it doesn’t change anything,” DiCamillo said. “It’s a status quo kind of vote.”<\/p>\n

Both proposals show sharp partisan divides. The poll found that seven out of 10 Democrats back the wealth tax, while 80% of Republicans reject it. Half of independent voters said they support the measure, compared to 39% opposed.<\/p>\n

Prop. 39 shows the opposite dynamic, with Republicans overwhelmingly backing the voter ID requirement and all but 12% of Democrats saying they plan to vote against it. A majority \u2014 54% \u2014 of independents said they also will vote against Prop. 39.<\/p>\n

The poll complicates a key argument for the largely conservative backers of Prop. 39, who’ve pitched it as a commonsense, bipartisan policy with broad support across the political spectrum. Opponents have cast it as part of President Donald Trump’s false claims of election fraud.<\/p>\n

The billionaire tax, which would funnel revenue toward healthcare services facing steep federal cuts pushed by Trump, shows sharp age divides. Three-quarters of voters under 30 support the tax, but support drops by age bracket and bottoms out among voters 65 and older, with 40% supporting the tax. That could present difficulties for SEIU-United Healthworkers West, the union driving the tax, because younger voters generally are less likely to turn out than older ones.<\/p>\n

The poll was commissioned by the Los Angeles Times and was conducted Aug. 3-9, in the midst of two key Prop. 40 endorsements. The California Democratic Party backed the tax on Aug. 2,<\/a> and the Labor Federation of California endorsed it several days later.<\/a><\/p>\n

Support for Prop. 40 is highest among lower income voters rather than higher earners, stronger among Black and Latino voters, at 60%, compared to white voters, at 40%, and higher among women, 53%, than men, 42%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A poll released Friday by UC Berkeley’s Institute of Governmental Studies shows voters aren’t sold on a proposed…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":433543,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[40292,7,9,8,21858,6358,140496,54524,19870],"class_list":["post-433542","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-california","tag-billionaire-tax","tag-california","tag-california-headlines","tag-california-news","tag-independent-voters","tag-registered-voters","tag-undecided-voters","tag-voter-id","tag-wealth-tax"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433542","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=433542"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433542\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/433543"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=433542"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=433542"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=433542"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}