Top MMA DFS Picks and Strategies for UFC Sacramento<\/p>\n
UFC DFS expert picks for this Saturday’s UFC Sacramento card are up, as well as fight-by-fight breakdowns, plus betting and lineup strategy for the entire event. Welcome to Drake’s Takes.<\/p>\n
UFC 330 Picks & Career Results:<\/p>\n
2026 Overall Picks:\u00a0224-94-2\u00a0
2025 Overall Picks:\u00a0345-152-2\u00a0
DFS Lock of the Week:\u00a0Wint
Fanduel Captain: Wint\/Hernandez<\/p>\n
Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) v.\u00a0Gregory Rodrigues\u00a0(19-6-0)<\/p>\n
Anthony Hernandez<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’0″ \u2013 Reach: 75″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 15-3 (3 KO\/TKO, 9 submissions)Relentless pressure wrestler with outstanding cardio and a suffocating grappling gameConstantly chains takedowns together and wears opponents down with pace, control, and ground-and-pound<\/p>\n Gregory Rodrigues<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’3″ \u2013 Reach: 75″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 19-6 (11 KO\/TKO, 4 submissions)Powerful striker with heavy hands and the ability to do serious damage in exchangesStrong grappler in his own right, making him more difficult to control than Hernandez’s typical opponent<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Hernandez<\/p>\n Think Hernandez gets back on track in the main event, and want to play his striking or takedown totals? Check out the Best MMA Picks & Prop Bets<\/a> by comparing lines to our projections using the RotoWire Picks & Props tool.\u00a0<\/p>\n Serghei Spivac (18-6-0) v.\u00a0Vitor Petrino\u00a0(14-2-0)<\/p>\n Serghei Spivac<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’3″ \u2013 Reach: 78″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 18-6 (7 KO\/TKO, 8 submissions)Heavyweight grappler with strong takedowns, top control, and dangerous submissionsPhysical ground game can create problems, but he is much less comfortable when forced into extended striking exchanges<\/p>\n Vitor Petrino<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’2″ \u2013 Reach: 77″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 14-2 (8 KO\/TKO, 2 submissions)Powerful athlete with dangerous striking and enough grappling ability to compete wherever the fight goesCarries the bigger threat on the feet and has the physicality to make Spivac work for his takedowns<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento pick: Petrino<\/p>\n Reinier de Ridder (21-4-0) v.\u00a0Roman Dolidze\u00a0(15-5-0)<\/p>\n Reinier de Ridder<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’4″ \u2013 Reach: 78″ \u2013 Stance: SouthpawRecord: 21-4 (4 KO\/TKO, 11 submissions)High-level submission grappler with dangerous back takes and excellent control once he gets opponents to the matConstantly looks to close distance and turn striking exchanges into opportunities to initiate his grappling<\/p>\n Roman Dolidze<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’2″ \u2013 Reach: 76″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 15-5 (8 KO\/TKO, 3 submissions)Powerful striker with a strong grappling background and legitimate finishing ability everywherePhysical and difficult to control, with enough power to punish opponents who get careless closing distance<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento pick: de Ridder<\/p>\n MarQuel Mederos (11-1-1) v.\u00a0Mason Jones\u00a0(18-2-0)<\/p>\n Marquel Mederos<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’10” \u2013 Reach: 69″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 11-1-1 (6 KO\/TKO)Athletic striker with fast hands, solid power, and an aggressive offensive gameDangerous when given space to work, but faces a major test against the pressure and experience of Jones<\/p>\n Mason Jones<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’10” \u2013 Reach: 74″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 18-2 (8 KO\/TKO, 3 submissions)Relentless pressure fighter with excellent cardio, high output, and a well-rounded skill setWilling to mix striking and wrestling while forcing opponents to work at his pace<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Jones<\/p>\n Carli Judice (6-2-0) v.\u00a0Jeisla Chaves\u00a0(7-0-0)<\/p>\n Carli Judice<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’7″ \u2013 Reach: 68″ \u2013 Stance: SouthpawRecord: 6-2 (5 KO\/TKO)High-volume striker who pushes a strong pace and is willing to stay aggressive for all three roundsUses her length well and can pile up significant strikes when opponents are willing to exchange<\/p>\n Jeisla Chaves<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’6″ \u2013 Reach: 68″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 7-0 (3 KO\/TKO)Undefeated prospect with dangerous power and an aggressive striking styleConfident finisher who will have an opportunity to make a statement in a significant step up in competition<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Judice<\/p>\n Anthony Wint (7-0-0) v.\u00a0Terrance Chatman\u00a0(5-1-0)<\/p>\n Anthony Wint<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’11” \u2013 Reach: 78″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 7-0 (5 KO\/TKO, 1 submission)Undefeated prospect with explosive athleticism and legitimate finishing powerAggressive when he sees an opening and has shown the ability to end fights quickly<\/p>\n Terrance Chatman<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’2″ \u2013 Reach: N\/A \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 5-1 (4 KO\/TO)Athletic prospect with dangerous power and a willingness to exchangeStill relatively inexperienced and draws a brutal matchup against a much more dangerous finisher<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Wint<\/p>\n Jamall Emmers (22-8-0) v.\u00a0Lerryan Douglas\u00a0(14-5-0)<\/p>\n Jamall Emmers<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’10” \u2013 Reach: 74″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 22-8 (9 KO\/TKO, 3 submissions)Experienced, well-rounded fighter with technical striking and solid wrestlingUsually fights a composed style and has the tools to compete wherever the fight goes<\/p>\n Lerryan Douglas<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’9″ \u2013 Reach: 72″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 14-5 (8 KO\/TKO, 2 submissions)Aggressive striker with legitimate power and a willingness to turn fights into a firefightMost dangerous when he can pressure forward and force opponents into extended exchanges<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Douglas<\/p>\n Shamil Gaziev (14-3-0) v.\u00a0Kennedy Nzechukwu\u00a0(17-8-0)<\/p>\n Shamil Gaziev<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’4″ \u2013 Reach: 78″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 14-3 (9 KO\/TKO, 3 submissions)Massive heavyweight with heavy hands and the physicality to bully opponents in closeMost dangerous early when he can pressure forward and use his size to dictate the fight<\/p>\n Kennedy Nzechukwu<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’5″ \u2013 Reach: 83″ \u2013 Stance: SouthpawRecord: 17-8 (10 KO\/TKO)Long, powerful striker with dangerous knees and significant knockout upsideCan be dangerous once he gets going, but has struggled with consistency throughout his UFC career<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Gaziev<\/p>\n Nasrat Haqparast (18-6-0) v.\u00a0Chris Padilla\u00a0(17-6-1)<\/p>\n Nasrat Haqparast<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’10” \u2013 Reach: 72″ \u2013 Stance: SouthpawRecord: 18-6 (10 KO\/TKO)Technical boxer with fast hands, clean combinations, and plenty of experience against UFC-level competitionDoes his best work when he can control the range and build his offense behind consistent volume<\/p>\n Chris Padilla<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’9″ \u2013 Reach: 74″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 17-6-1 (9 KO\/TKO, 5 submissions)Aggressive, well-rounded fighter with dangerous finishing ability both standing and on the matWilling to pressure forward and make fights uncomfortable rather than settle into a technical striking battle<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Haqparast<\/p>\n Marcio Barbosa (18-2-0) v.\u00a0Ryan Kuse\u00a0(9-2-0)<\/p>\n Marcio Barbosa<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’6″ \u2013 Reach: 70″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 18-2 (15 KO\/TKO, 2 submissions)Experienced finisher with dangerous power and a well-rounded offensive gameComfortable pushing the action and has multiple ways to end the fight if he gets Kuse in trouble<\/p>\n Ryan Kuse<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’9″ \u2013 Reach: 74″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 9-2 (6 KO\/TKO)Aggressive striker with legitimate power and strong finishing instinctsDangerous when he can dictate the exchanges, but faces a major jump in experience here<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Barbosa<\/p>\n Gauge Young (11-3-0) v.\u00a0Stan Dorsainvil\u00a0(5-0-0)<\/p>\n Gauge Young<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’9″ \u2013 Reach: 70″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 11-3 (6 KO\/TKO, 1 submission)Experienced, well-rounded fighter with solid pressure and a willingness to mix striking and wrestlingHas faced the tougher competition and is comfortable turning fights into gritty, high-paced battles<\/p>\n Stan Dorsainvil<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’10” \u2013 Reach: 76″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 5-0 (3 KO\/TKO, 1 submission)Undefeated prospect with explosive athleticism and dangerous finishing abilityStill relatively untested, but has shown plenty of upside when he’s able to dictate the pace<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Young<\/p>\n Jackson McVey (7-2-0) v.\u00a0Wes Schultz\u00a0(9-3-0)<\/p>\n Jackson McVey<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’4″ \u2013 Reach: 77″ \u2013 Stance: SouthpawRecord: 7-2 (3 KO\/TKO, 4 submissions)Dangerous finisher with good size, power, and an aggressive striking gameLooks to take control early and has the power to punish opponents who are willing to exchange<\/p>\n Wes Schultz<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 6’1″ \u2013 Reach: 77″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 9-3 (2 KO\/TKO, 6 submissions)Aggressive fighter with plenty of finishing ability and legitimate power on the feetWilling to push the pace and turn fights into exchanges where either fighter can find the finish<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: McVey<\/p>\n Shanelle Dyer (7-1-0) v.\u00a0Elise Reed\u00a0(8-5-0)<\/p>\n Shanelle Dyer<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’6″ \u2013 Reach: 65″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 7-1 (5 KO\/TKO)Athletic striker with fast hands, good power, and the ability to push a strong paceStill developing, but brings significantly more explosiveness and finishing upside to this matchup<\/p>\n Elise Reed<\/a><\/p>\n Height: 5’3″ \u2013 Reach: 63″ \u2013 Stance: OrthodoxRecord: 8-5 (2 KO\/TKO)Experienced striker with solid fundamentals and plenty of UFC-level competitionTough and willing to exchange, but has struggled when opponents can overwhelm her with pressure<\/p>\n DFS Perspective: UFC Sacramento Pick: Dyer<\/p>\n Note: All odds accurate as of time of posting, and taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook, if available. Check out DraftKings to bet on <\/a>MMA Odds<\/a> and use the <\/a>DraftKings promo code<\/a> for a great welcome offer.<\/p>\n In search of a new, legal sportsbook? Get in on the action with our\u00a0best sportsbook promo codes<\/a>, as well as these selections for the best sports betting sites and\u00a0sports betting apps<\/a>.<\/p>\n FANDUEL MMA SCORING RULES<\/p>\n Moves Scoring Fight Conclusion Bonuses Scoring Notes<\/p>\n Significant Strikes are distance strikes or clinch\/ground strikes that are considered “power strikes” by official scorers.A knockdown is awarded to a fighter who knocks his\/her opponent down due to debilitation for what the official scorers consider a substantial time.DRAFTKINGS MMA SCORING RULES<\/p>\n Moves Scoring Fight Conclusion Bonuses Scoring Notes<\/p>\n Significant Strikes are any distance strikes or clinch\/ground strikes that are considered “power strikes” by official scorers.A Significant Strike will count as both a strike and a significant strike and be worth 0.4 points in total.Control Time is the time spent in the dominant position on the ground or in the clinch. +0.03 points are awarded per second.A Knockdown is awarded to a fighter who knocks his\/her opponent down due to debilitation for what the official scorers consider an appreciable time.A Quick Win Bonus is awarded to the winning fighter if they win in the first round in 60 seconds or less.<\/p>\n The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including \u2013 but not limited to \u2013 games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it’s possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Drake Burden plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Dburdz, DraftKings: Dburdz. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Top MMA DFS Picks and Strategies for UFC Sacramento UFC DFS expert picks for this Saturday’s UFC Sacramento…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":440504,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[87129,121,123,122],"class_list":["post-440503","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sacramento","tag-minor-league-stats","tag-sacramento","tag-sacramento-headlines","tag-sacramento-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440503","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=440503"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440503\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/440504"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=440503"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=440503"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=440503"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
Rodrigues is dangerous and has the power and grappling to make this interesting, but Hernandez’s pace is just on another level. I expect Fluffy to constantly pressure, chain takedowns together, and force Rodrigues to work every second of this fight. Rodrigues has the power to change things early, but the longer this goes, the more it favors Hernandez. The takedown and control upside makes Hernandez one of the better DFS targets on the card.<\/p>\n
I see this being a close fight. Both guys can grapple and should have their moments on the ground, but Petrino has the clear edge when this stays on the feet. If he can prevent Spivac from controlling long stretches of the fight, his power and striking should be the difference. The slight lean is to Petrino in a competitive heavyweight matchup.<\/p>\n
This is an interesting matchup because Dolidze has the grappling ability to make de Ridder work much harder than usual on the ground. The difference for me is de Ridder’s ability to constantly create grappling exchanges and hunt submissions from multiple positions. Dolidze has the clear power advantage on the feet and is absolutely live if he can keep this standing, but I slightly prefer de Ridder to eventually take control on the mat.<\/p>\n
Mederos is dangerous and has the striking to make this competitive, but I like Jones’ pressure and overall game here. He should be able to push a pace that makes Mederos uncomfortable while mixing in his wrestling to keep him guessing. The longer this fight goes, the more I expect Jones to take over. Jones is the preferred side with a solid DFS ceiling through volume and takedowns.<\/p>\n
Chaves is intriguing as an undefeated prospect, but this is a significant step up in competition. I like Judice’s volume and experience to become the difference, especially if this fight gets extended. Chaves certainly has the power to make things interesting early, but I expect Judice to weather it and gradually take control with her output. Judice is the preferred side in what could be a high-scoring fight.<\/p>\n
I have a lot of confidence in Wint here. He has a massive power advantage, and this feels like a matchup where he should be able to impose himself immediately. Chatman will have a very difficult time surviving if he gets dragged into exchanges early. I expect Wint to flatline him and put up one of the better DFS scores on the card.<\/p>\n
Emmers is the more experienced and well-rounded fighter, but Douglas brings the more dangerous offensive weapons. I expect Emmers to have success if he can slow things down and mix in his wrestling, but Douglas’ pressure and power make that difficult for three rounds. Slight lean Douglas to land the more damaging shots and get his hand raised.<\/p>\n
This is a close heavyweight fight, but I lean Gaziev because of the size and physicality he brings. Nzechukwu has the length and power to make him pay on the feet, but I expect Gaziev to pressure forward, close the distance, and make this an ugly fight. Slight lean Gaziev to use his strength and physical advantage to get it done.<\/p>\n
This should be a competitive fight, but I like Haqparast’s experience and cleaner striking to be the difference. Padilla is dangerous and has more ways to find a finish, but Nasrat should have the advantage during extended exchanges on the feet. I expect him to land the cleaner combinations and do enough to get his hand raised. Slight lean Haqparast, but this isn’t a fight I’m looking to prioritize in DFS.<\/p>\n
This feels like a tough step up for Kuse. He has enough power to be dangerous, but Barbosa has significantly more experience and brings plenty of finishing ability of his own. I expect Barbosa to handle the early aggression, find his openings, and eventually take control. Barbosa is the preferred side with strong finishing upside.<\/p>\n
Dorsainvil is an interesting prospect, but this is a significant step up against someone with much more experience. I like Young’s ability to mix everything together and make this a difficult fight for him. If Young can survive the early danger and drag Dorsainvil into deeper waters, I expect his experience to take over. Lean Young to hand Dorsainvil his first loss.<\/p>\n
This feels like a fight that could get wild early. Both guys have plenty of finishing ability, but I slightly prefer McVey’s size and power to be the difference. Schultz is dangerous enough that I wouldn’t consider McVey safe, but this is a fight worth targeting for its finishing potential. Lean McVey to get it done.<\/p>\n
Reed has the experience advantage, but I like Dyer’s athleticism, speed, and power to be the difference. Dyer should be able to dictate the striking exchanges and force Reed onto the defensive for long stretches. I expect Dyer to take control early and continue pulling away as the fight goes on. Dyer is the preferred side with solid finishing upside.<\/p>\n
Significant Strikes = 0.6 pts
Takedown = 6 pts
Knockdown = 12 pts
Submission Attempt = 5 pts<\/p>\n
1st Round Win = 100 pts
2nd Round Win = 75 pts
3rd Round Win = 50 pts
4th Round Win = 35 pts
5th Round Win = 25 pts
Decision Win = 20 pts<\/p>\n
Strikes: +0.2 pts
Significant Strikes (SS): +0.2 pts
Control Time: +0.03 pts\/Second
Takedown (TD): +5 pts
Reversal\/Sweep (REV): +5 pts
Knockdown (KD): +10 pts<\/p>\n
1st Round Win (1rW+): +90 pts
2nd Round Win (2rW+): +70 pts
3rd Round Win (3rW+): +45 pts
4th Round Win (4rW+): +40 pts
5th Round Win (5rW+): +40 pts
Decision Win (WBD+): +30 pts
Quick Win Bonus: +25 pts
(fight is finished in 60 seconds or less)<\/p>\n