{"id":453737,"date":"2026-09-04T20:54:13","date_gmt":"2026-09-04T20:54:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/453737\/"},"modified":"2026-09-04T20:54:13","modified_gmt":"2026-09-04T20:54:13","slug":"odds-of-major-bay-area-quake-tops-74-heres-when-the-big-one-could-hit-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/453737\/","title":{"rendered":"Odds Of Major Bay Area Quake Tops 74%. Here&#8217;s When The Big One Could Hit: Report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cEarthquakes never come back exactly the same way,\u201d Solene L. Antoine, the study\u2019s lead author and a postdoctoral fellow at Caltech, <a href=\"https:\/\/patch.com\/california\/across-ca\/cas-big-one-could-look-nothing-weve-attempted-predict-researchers-say\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">told the Los Angeles Times in<\/a> 2025. <\/p>\n<p>Most Californians tend to focus on &#8220;The Big One,&#8221; and its potential damage. But most hazards come from events like the <a href=\"https:\/\/patch.com\/california\/napavalley\/napa-quake-damage-homes-businesses-estimated-300-million\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">magnitude six earthquake in 2014 near South Napa<\/a>,&#8221; Sarah Minson, a research geophysicist with the USGS Earthquake Science Center, said <a href=\"https:\/\/patch.com\/california\/san-francisco\/bay-area-faces-72-chance-major-earthquake-usgs-warns\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">last year<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You can prepare for earthquakes, and they\u2019re very survivable,&#8221; Minson said. &#8220;California is well built for earthquake safety&#8230; Your building is not supposed to be a threat to your life in an earthquake,&#8221; she said, but added that hazards remain inside.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You can have bookcases, things that can fall on your head. Right now I\u2019m looking up at the ceiling tiles in my office,&#8221; she said. &#8220;So what we say is, if you feel shaking, please drop, cover, and hold on to protect yourself from anything that might fall on you.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Most injuries, she added, come from people trying to move during quakes \u2014 tripping, falling, or running outside where facades or air conditioning units may fall.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u201cEarthquakes never come back exactly the same way,\u201d Solene L. Antoine, the study\u2019s lead author and a postdoctoral&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":453738,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[101,103,102,104,106,105],"class_list":["post-453737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-san-francisco","tag-san-francisco","tag-san-francisco-headlines","tag-san-francisco-news","tag-sf","tag-sf-headlines","tag-sf-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/453737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=453737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/453737\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/453738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=453737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=453737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=453737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}