{"id":4667,"date":"2025-10-14T21:35:10","date_gmt":"2025-10-14T21:35:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/4667\/"},"modified":"2025-10-14T21:35:10","modified_gmt":"2025-10-14T21:35:10","slug":"california-falls-to-worlds-fifth-largest-economy-san-diego-union-tribune","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/4667\/","title":{"rendered":"California falls to world\u2019s fifth-largest economy \u2013 San Diego Union-Tribune"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>California has slipped a notch in the bragging-rights totem pole to the world\u2019s fifth-largest economy in the latest update on global business output.<\/p>\n<p>Using gross domestic product as the yardstick, my trusty spreadsheet compared new 2025 estimates for nations, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Publications\/WEO\/Issues\/2025\/10\/14\/world-economic-outlook-october-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">released by the International Monetary Fund<\/a> on Tuesday, Oct. 14, to state-level readings for the second quarter of 2025 from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bea.gov\/news\/2025\/gross-domestic-product-state-and-personal-income-state-2nd-quarter-2025-and-personal\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bureau of Economic Analysis, released in September<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The Golden State economy was generating goods and services at a nationwide leading annual rate of $4.215 trillion in the second quarter \u2013 up 5% in a year, according to the BEA. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2025\/09\/26\/california-remains-worlds-fourth-largest-economy\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">That ranked fourth-best on a global scale<\/a> when compared with the IMF\u2019s April scorecard \u2013 behind only the U.S., China, and Germany.<\/p>\n<p>But the latest IMF estimate for 2025 business output shows Japan\u2019s economy at $4.28 trillion, up 6.5% in a year. So, it reclaimed the world\u2019s No. 4 spot, surpassing the Golden State.<\/p>\n<p>GDP is a broad measure of the production of goods and services, often seen as a yardstick of economic vibrancy. This geeky economic statistic has morphed into political brownie points for the state when comparing California\u2019s business output to the world by contrasting GDP, which is priced in U.S. dollars, without adjusting for inflation.<\/p>\n<p>IMF stats show that right behind Japan and California is India at $4.125 trillion, up 5.5%, and the United Kingdom with $3.96 trillion, up 8.6%. So roughly $300 billion \u2013 a 7% gap \u2013 separates these three nations and California on this vanity scorecard.<\/p>\n<p>California gained the No. 5 global ranking in 2017 and then <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.ca.gov\/2025\/04\/23\/california-is-now-the-4th-largest-economy-in-the-world\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rose to No. 4 last year<\/a> following a long-running dip in the Japanese economy. This scorecard reflects both geographic economic progress and fluctuations in the U.S. currency. Japan\u2019s jump is due, in part, to its strong yen performance against the dollar in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>The IMF update showed that the world\u2019s top three economies remained the same. The U.S. was No. 1 with an estimated output of $30.6 trillion for all of 2025, up 4.5% from the previous year. Then comes China at $19.4 trillion, up 3.5% in a year, and Germany at $5 trillion, up 7% in a year.<\/p>\n<p>By the way, the IMF estimates that the world economy will generate $117 trillion in business output in 2025, up 5.4% from 2024.<\/p>\n<p>The IMF outlook for the world\u2019s economy was guarded: \u201cRisks are tilted to the downside. Prolonged uncertainty, more protectionism, and labor supply shocks could reduce growth. Fiscal vulnerabilities, potential financial market corrections, and erosion of institutions could threaten stability.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Lansner is the business columnist for the Southern California News Group. He can be reached at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/2025\/10\/14\/california-falls-to-worlds-fifth-largest-economy\/mailto:jlansner@scng.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">jlansner@scng.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Originally Published: October 14, 2025 at 8:34 AM PDT<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"California has slipped a notch in the bragging-rights totem pole to the world\u2019s fifth-largest economy in the latest&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4148,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[387,7,9,8,383,100,13,1696],"class_list":{"0":"post-4667","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-california","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-california","10":"tag-california-headlines","11":"tag-california-news","12":"tag-economy","13":"tag-news","14":"tag-politics","15":"tag-top-stories-sdut"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4667","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4667"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4667\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4148"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4667"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4667"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4667"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}