{"id":485350,"date":"2026-10-05T02:36:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T02:36:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/485350\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T02:36:07","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T02:36:07","slug":"tom-krasovic-what-to-make-of-the-padres-most-gut-wrenching-playoff-loss-in-decades","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/485350\/","title":{"rendered":"Tom Krasovic: What to make of the Padres&#8217; most gut-wrenching playoff loss in decades"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Baseball karma arrived Saturday night for us smug San Diegans who tease friends or family back east about our glorious weather.<\/p>\n<p>Payback came via Milwaukee\u2019s roofed baseball park that was built to cope with Wisconsin\u2019s less-forgiving climate.<\/p>\n<p>Against astronomical odds, the roof denied Padres slugger\/San Diego State alum Ty France a potential go-ahead home run in the ninth inning of Saturday\u2019s playoff series opener.<\/p>\n<p>France\u2019s moonshot struck a roof cable that locals say had never been hit. The ball angled downward into the glove of Brewers left fielder Jackson Chourio on the warning track\u2019s front edge, near the corner. It went for the second out, and when Jackson Merrill\u2019s liner sailed into the right fielder\u2019s glove, the Brewers and some 42,000 fans celebrated a 3-2 win in Game 1 in the best-of-5 National League Division Series.<\/p>\n<p>Sunday brought a fresh canvas:<\/p>\n<p>A mid-afternoon time slot, an open roof, and a Padres ace on the mound.<\/p>\n<p>Could the Padres dig themselves out of the karmic hole?<\/p>\n<p>It appeared they would when <a href=\"https:\/\/wpdash.medianewsgroup.com\/2026\/10\/04\/padres-notes-ty-france-moves-on-may-day-for-game-3-jason-adam-bouncing-back\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">France drove in a pair of runs<\/a>\u00a0and <a href=\"https:\/\/wpdash.medianewsgroup.com\/2026\/10\/04\/padres-notes-ty-france-moves-on-may-day-for-game-3-jason-adam-bouncing-back\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Michael King retired his first 14 batters<\/a>, and the team took a 3-1 lead into the home seventh inning.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wpdash.medianewsgroup.com\/2026\/10\/04\/brewers-walk-off-padres-to-go-up-2-0-in-nl-division-series\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">But they lost 4-3<\/a>, giving the Padres much to ponder on the flight home for Game 3, which comes Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>This was the franchise\u2019s most excruciating postseason defeat, except for the 1998 World Series opener at Yankee Stadium.<\/p>\n<p>Despite holding a lead going into every Brewers at-bat, the Padres failed to even the series.<\/p>\n<p>Offensively, the Padres underachieved for the second day in a row.<\/p>\n<p>Because the offense failed to put more runs on a day when the Brewers handed them four extra outs via three errors and a pitcher not covering first base, Padres manager Craig Stammen asked Mason Miller to get his first six-out save since 2024, when the closer was with the Athletics.<\/p>\n<p>Miller, who was on three days\u2019 rest, threw a scoreless eighth to preserve the 3-2 lead.<\/p>\n<p>He retired the first hitter of the ninth before going walk, flyout, walk, walk to bring up 22-year-old emerging star Jackson Chourio.<\/p>\n<p>Miller still had a hot fastball, although his 34 pitches had matched his season high.<\/p>\n<p>Chourio, signed out of Venezuela at age 16, is Milwaukee\u2019s best fastball hitter but has evolved into a very good hitter, period. In Game 1, <a href=\"https:\/\/wpdash.medianewsgroup.com\/2026\/10\/03\/brewers-power-way-to-victory-over-padres-in-game-1-of-nlds\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the righty pounded a 420-foot home run off a slider from lefty Robbie Ray<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe\u2019s starting to realize how he plays the game,\u201d Brewers manager Pat Murphy said. \u201cAs talented as he is, he\u2019s still learning the game.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Miller began Chourio with four fastballs, each one hitting triple digits.<\/p>\n<p>Chourio got off an ominous swing on the fourth one, a 1-2 pitch that he fouled back.<\/p>\n<p>Miller answered with a nose-diving slider over the plate that, in many other duels, would\u2019ve induced a flailing third strike.<\/p>\n<p>Chourio let it pass under his knees.<\/p>\n<p>When Miller brought another fastball \u2014 out over the plate, belt-high, clocked at 101.3-mph \u2014 Chourio hammered it to center field to win it, 4-3.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/2026\/10\/04\/brewers-walk-off-padres-to-go-up-2-0-in-nl-division-series\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u2018We\u2019re in a hole\u2019: Brewers walk off against Padres to go up 2-0 in NL Division Series<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The big picture here:<\/p>\n<p>Padres hitters aren\u2019t producing enough clutch hits and productive outs. The same problem fueled similar close-game defeats to the Phillies (2022), Dodgers (2024) and Cubs (2025).<\/p>\n<p>Other than France\u2019s two hits Sunday, the offense was 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position.<\/p>\n<p>In Game 1, the offense stranded 12 runners and got only one hit \u2014 from Luis Campusano \u2014 in nine at-bats with runners in scoring position.<\/p>\n<p>Many Machado has been OK. Supplementing France\u2019s consistently good at-bats in the two games, Machado had a double, a single and a walk in Game 1 and two walks in Game 2, the first of which led to Machado scoring for a 1-0 lead on France\u2019s sharp, two-out single off rookie Logan Henderson.<\/p>\n<p>But it\u2019s this simple: the Padres won\u2019t get to the NLCS unless they get more production from Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill.<\/p>\n<p>And it\u2019s been a rough series for Jake Cronenworth, who had a double-error Sunday, leading to an unearned run that made it 3-2. He was scoreless in four at-bats.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/2026\/10\/04\/padres-notes-ty-france-moves-on-may-day-for-game-3-jason-adam-bouncing-back\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Padres notes: Ty France moves on; May day for Game 3, Jason Adam bouncing back<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Contextualizing France\u2019s roof-ball isn\u2019t so simple.<\/p>\n<p>After the quants dug into the flyball data, they said the 49-degree launched drive, if unimpeded, probably would not have gone for a home run. According to Statcast data, it would\u2019ve been a home run only in Houston\u2019s ballpark. An analyst with The Athletic, while not ruling out a home run, suggested a foul ball or flyout were the more probable outcomes.<\/p>\n<p>So maybe the Padres weren\u2019t robbed by a confluence of improbable events that also included the roof being closed on a temperate, 61-degree night.<\/p>\n<p>And in other years, maybe it wasn\u2019t bad luck that dealt other Padres teams and San Diego Chargers clubs embittering defeats, the kind that lead fans to ask why they keep coming back for such punishment.<\/p>\n<p>The Padres had plenty of chances to win the past two games. They didn\u2019t get it done.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s on to the East Village, with sizzling-hot October weather in the forecast.<\/p>\n<p>At least the Padres won\u2019t have to worry about a roof.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Baseball karma arrived Saturday night for us smug San Diegans who tease friends or family back east about&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":485351,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[181,1334,74,76,75,2611,127],"class_list":["post-485350","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-san-diego","tag-latest-headlines","tag-mlb","tag-san-diego","tag-san-diego-headlines","tag-san-diego-news","tag-san-diego-padres","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/485350","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=485350"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/485350\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/485351"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=485350"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=485350"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=485350"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}