{"id":489852,"date":"2026-10-09T01:34:15","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T01:34:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/489852\/"},"modified":"2026-10-09T01:34:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T01:34:15","slug":"early-sign-of-a-downturn-san-diego-pending-home-sales-plummet-as-mortgage-rates-rise-san-diego-union-tribune","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/489852\/","title":{"rendered":"Early sign of a downturn? San Diego pending home sales plummet as mortgage rates rise \u2013 San Diego Union-Tribune"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>San Diego County home sales crashed in September at one of the highest rates in the nation as mortgage rates neared a three-year high.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zillow.com\/research\/september-2026-market-report\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">new report<\/a> from Zillow said pending home sales in San Diego County fell 13.1% in September from the same time a year ago. A pending sale refers to a transaction where the buyer has accepted an offer, but the deal hasn\u2019t been finalized. It is often one of the first indicators of a market downturn.<\/p>\n<p>San Diego had the fifth-largest drop in pending home sales in the nation during September, out of the 20 largest metro areas.<\/p>\n<p>Los Angeles had the biggest drop, down 15.5%. It was followed by Seattle (down 15.4%), Washington, D.C. (down 14.3%), and Baltimore (down 13.8%). San Francisco, in the middle of an <a href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/post\/ai-wealth-is-fueling-housing-market-frenzy-san-francisco-million-dollars-asking\/19692675\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">artificial intelligence tech boom<\/a>, had the smallest drop at 4.5%.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSky-high mortgage rates and the usual fall slowdown teamed up to chill housing activity in September,\u201d said Zillow chief economist Mischa Fisher.<\/p>\n<p>It is likely rising mortgage rates were already affecting the market before the latest pending sales data. Zillow said closed sales in San Diego County were down 9.3% annually in September, which was tied for the second-biggest drop in the nation. September\u2019s closed sales likely covered transactions started in August or late July.<\/p>\n<p>Only Atlanta had a bigger drop in closed sales, down 11.2%. San Diego was tied with Providence, R.I., also down 9.3% annually.<\/p>\n<p>Fisher noted that the average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage was 7.28% at the end of September, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/pmms\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Freddie Mac <\/a>data. That was the highest level for rates since November 2023, and he reasoned it scared off numerous potential buyers.<\/p>\n<p>In late February, the average mortgage rate was 5.98%, meaning monthly costs for most purchases have significantly risen.<\/p>\n<p>San Diego County\u2019s median single-family home price has been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/2026\/09\/21\/san-diego-home-price-hits-new-record-high-will-it-last\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">around $1 million<\/a> for most of the year. Assuming 20% down ($200,000), the monthly payment would have been about $5,160 if the purchase was made in late February. Using late September mortgage rates, the monthly cost would be closer to $5,850.<\/p>\n<p>Freddie Mac <a href=\"https:\/\/freddiemac.gcs-web.com\/news-releases\/news-release-details\/mortgage-rates-average-740?_gl=1*bn7r5h*_gcl_au*MTIyMTM3NzI1Mi4xNzg3Njc3OTg1Li0uLS4xNzg3Njc3OTg2LjE1NTE5NTkzNDEuMTc5MTQ3ODcxNy4xNzkxNDgwMDE4*_ga*NTYyNTQ3NjUwLjE3NDQ5MTM1Mzc.*_ga_B5N0FKC09S*czE3OTE0Nzg3MTYkbzU0JGcxJHQxNzkxNDgwMDE4JGo1OSRsMCRoMA..\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">announced Thursday<\/a> that average mortgage rates had risen to 7.40%, which was its highest in nearly three years. Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, said higher rates have also scared off sellers \u2014 as evidenced by a drop in listings \u2014 because they typically need to buy a new home after a sale.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHigher rates are holding back both demand and supply this fall, so it is unlikely that there will be significant downward pressure on home prices,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"San Diego County home sales crashed in September at one of the highest rates in the nation as&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":489853,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[387,181,388,74,76,75,1696],"class_list":["post-489852","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-san-diego","tag-business","tag-latest-headlines","tag-real-estate","tag-san-diego","tag-san-diego-headlines","tag-san-diego-news","tag-top-stories-sdut"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/489852","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=489852"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/489852\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/489853"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=489852"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=489852"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=489852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}