Spread<\/p>\n
Broncos -3.5 (-110)Chargers +3.5 (-110)<\/p>\n
Moneyline<\/p>\n
Broncos: -185Chargers: +154<\/p>\n
Total<\/p>\n
42.5 (Over -110\/Under -110)<\/p>\n
The Broncos have been 3.5-point favorites since the odds for this game opened<\/a>, but the total has dropped a point to 42.5 with both of these offenses ranking in the bottom half of the league in EPA\/Play and success rate. The Chargers are looking to cover the spread for the first time all season, as they\u2019re currently 0-3-1 against the number.\u00a0<\/p>\n Broncos vs. Chargers Score Prediction<\/p>\n This week, SI Betting\u2019s Iain MacMillan continued his Road to 272<\/a>, where he picks every game, every week through the NFL season. In this game, he\u2019s betting on Los Angeles to cover at home:\u00a0<\/p>\n It’s an ugly bet to make, but I’m going to back the Chargers to cover the spread in this game. The Broncos have some injury issues heading into this week. We don’t yet know who will play and who won’t, but Pat Surtain II is doubtful with an ankle injury, Riley Moss is questionable with a rib injury, and Pat Bryant is also doubtful with an ankle injury. That’s two starting corners and an important piece on offense that could miss this road game, which will hurt them more than you think.<\/p>\n The Chargers are certainly deserving of criticism this season, but people need to wake up to Bo Nix. I’m convinced he’s not a good quarterback. He’s 23rd in adjusted EPA per play and 27th in completion percentage over expected. This team is now 26th in Net Yards per Play at -0.7, below the Chargers, who come in at 17th in that metric at -0.3.<\/p>\n With the Chargers getting 3.5 points on their home field, I’ll back Los Angeles to cover the spread for the first time this season.<\/p>\n The Denver offense is a massive concern, as it has scored just 13 points in the first half through four weeks, ranking 20th in EPA\/Play and 27th in success rate. Plus, the injuries to Denver\u2019s secondary are a major concern with how much the team has leaned on the defense.\u00a0<\/p>\n I don\u2019t love this Chargers team, but an 0-5 start would be pretty shocking. After finding some success in the second half against Seattle in Week 4, I\u2019ll take the points in a close AFC West battle.\u00a0<\/p>\n Final Score Prediction: Broncos 20, Chargers 17<\/p>\n Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n Claim the latest DraftKings promo code<\/a> offer today. Sign up and get $150 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet.<\/a><\/p>\n
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