{"id":506767,"date":"2026-10-24T17:46:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-24T17:46:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/506767\/"},"modified":"2026-10-24T17:46:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-24T17:46:13","slug":"hope-and-despair-simmer-among-california-republicans-as-election-day-approaches","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/506767\/","title":{"rendered":"Hope and despair simmer among California Republicans as election day approaches"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>MISSION VIEJO\u00a0\u2014\u00a0Twenty years after  the GOP last won a state-level election in California, few Republican voters believe this will be the year.<\/p>\n<p>But they can hope.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m praying, praying, praying that people will come out of the woodwork and show up and just vote for Steve,\u201d said Annette Owens, a 65-year-old Orange County resident and longtime special education teacher.<\/p>\n<p>Steve Hilton, a former Fox News host originally from the United Kingdom, faces Xavier Becerra, a longtime Democratic politician who is heavily favored to win the Nov. 3 election to replace term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom.<\/p>\n<p>The 2026 elections are looking particularly grim for California Republicans, whose statewide influence over the past two decades has atrophied to super-minority levels. Redistricting from Proposition 50 removed some key GOP seats in Congress. And nationally, the party is struggling with high prices, fallout from the war in Iran and polls showing President Trump\u2019s popularity at all-time lows.<\/p>\n<p>While she is \u201cdoubtful\u201d Hilton or any other Republicans running  statewide  will beat their Democratic opponents, Owens says  \u201cif anyone\u2019s going to do it,\u201d it\u2019s Hilton.<\/p>\n<p>The candidate had just spent nearly 40 minutes addressing several dozen Orange County moms in Mission Viejo, a hilly and affluent enclave speckled with golf courses and Spanish colonial architecture.<\/p>\n<p>            <img class=\"image\" alt=\"Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton visits patrons\"   width=\"1200\" height=\"805\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1792863971_921_.jpeg\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/>         <\/p>\n<p>Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton visits patrons at Victorio\u2019s Ristorante in North Hollywood, which hosted a watch party for the CNN debate between him and Xavier Becerra.<\/p>\n<p>(Jason Armond \/ Los Angeles Times)<\/p>\n<p>Sipping mimosas in a glass-walled event space overlooking the city\u2019s verdant public course, women \u2014 and a couple of tagalong husbands  \u2014 listened as Hilton and local Republicans argued for a change after 16 years of Democrats controlling California government.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe can make this a place where people follow their dreams and build their lives, and that\u2019s the ultimate test: That people are moving back to California after my first four years in government,\u201d Hilton said.<\/p>\n<p>Rachel Darvish drove from her home in Pacific Palisades to support the gubernatorial candidate. In the aftermath of the January 2025 fires, Darvish was captured on viral <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/ktla.com\/news\/local-news\/mother-confronts-gov-newsom-in-pacific-palisades-demands-answers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">video angrily confronting Newsom<\/a> as he toured the wreckage. She joined the Republican Party after the fires.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI considered myself an independent up until the day I realized we had no choice,\u201d Darvish, wearing a Hilton campaign T-shirt, said. \u201cI think this is really the first election that the R or the D really does matter, and there is an obvious difference.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Hilton and other Republicans acknowledge the math. Democrats outnumber GOP voters nearly 2-to-1 in California, and no-party-preference voters largely side with Democrats in statewide contests.<\/p>\n<p>Hilton, who is endorsed by  Trump, often declares to supporters that the race against Becerra, a President Biden-era U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and former state attorney general, \u201cis going to be really difficult to win, but not impossible.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As he calculates his chances of victory, the former Fox News host considers three sets of facts. The \u201cestablishment polls,\u201d as he calls them, conducted by widely trusted pollsters, including the Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies and the Public Policy Institute of California, have shown him more than 20 percentage points behind. His internal polls also have him losing, albeit by smaller margins.<\/p>\n<p>Then there are the people who come to his events.<\/p>\n<p>            <img class=\"image\" alt=\"California Democratic gubernatorial candidate Xavier Becerra speaks during a rally\"   width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1792863972_848_.jpeg\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/>         <\/p>\n<p>California Democratic gubernatorial candidate Xavier Becerra speaks at a rally Thursday in Bakersfield.<\/p>\n<p>(Jae C. Hong \/ Associated Press)<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEvery single day I get all these people saying, \u2018I\u2019m a lifelong Democrat, but I\u2019m voting for you because we got to have some balance, we got to have a change,\u2019\u201d he said in an interview on the golf course patio following his event. \u201cA lot of them say, \u2018But I\u2019m not telling anyone.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Midterm elections are historically more difficult for the incumbent president\u2019s party. While never popular in California, Trump\u2019s approval rating recently fell to a record low of 27% in a Berkeley IGS poll.<\/p>\n<p>Fierce headwinds for GOP in California<\/p>\n<p>Political operatives expect anti-Trump sentiment to intensify the headwinds Republicans face in California. More than half of likely Democratic voters, and 37% overall, said <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2026-09-24\/high-cost-of-living-tops-voter-concerns-becerra-remains-front-runner-in-governors-race-new-poll-shows\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a top motivator in this election<\/a> is pushing back against the administration\u2018s policies.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m not really anticipating Republicans winning for anything statewide,\u201d said Jon Fleischman, a conservative writer and former executive director of the California GOP. \u201cIf somebody\u2019s anticipating that, then they don\u2019t know how to do math.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He doesn\u2019t expect Republican turnout to drop, but \u201cDemocrat turnout could be enhanced over what it normally is. Maybe it\u2019s a distinction without a difference.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Some Republicans are frustrated by the Democratic-only choices in the high-profile race for Los Angeles mayor, as well as the down-ballot contest for state insurance commissioner.<\/p>\n<p>Darvish, who supported conservative Spencer Pratt for L.A. mayor in the primary, described the runoff between incumbent Karen Bass and City Councilmember Nithya Raman as a choice between \u201cSatan and Lucifer.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m going to have to vote for Karen Bass,\u201d she said. \u201cIt\u2019s really hard for me to say that,\u201d but she does not want Raman or any candidates backed by the Democratic Socialists of America to win.<\/p>\n<p>Some Republicans say they won\u2019t vote for insurance commissioner, the only statewide race between two Democrats: Jane Kim, a former San Francisco supervisor, and state Sen. Ben Allen.<\/p>\n<p>Fleischman described the DSA-endorsed Kim as \u201cnuts\u201d and Allen, who represents Manhattan Beach, El Segundo, Beverly Hills and other cities, as \u201can extreme liberal\u201d who \u201chas enthusiastically supported virtually every Gavin Newsom policy I dislike.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>While Trump and Republicans will likely suffer midterm losses, many Democrats are \u201cmassively unpopular as well,\u201d said Republican strategist Rob Stutzman. \u201cAll politicians are underwater right now. Voters are in a pretty bad mood.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Hilton concedes it would be easier to run a midterm race with a sitting Democratic president, but believes the Trump endorsement is not as toxic to his campaign as it might seem.<\/p>\n<p>            <img class=\"image\" alt=\"Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton enjoys a light moment with a woman who was happy to get gas for $3 a gallon\"   width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1792863972_819_.jpeg\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/>         <\/p>\n<p>Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton enjoys a light moment with a woman who was happy to get gas for $3 a gallon at a gas station in Los Angeles on Oct. 8.<\/p>\n<p>(Genaro Molina \/ Los Angeles Times)<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt doesn\u2019t come up in really any of the meetings,\u201d he said. \u201cPeople really are asking about gas prices.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Republican candidates and party officials are making the case that California\u2019s longstanding homelessness and cost-of-living woes have little to do with the president.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI can\u2019t think of anything less relevant\u201d than Trump, said Roxanne Hoge, chair of the Los Angeles Republican Party. \u201cWe are drowning in high taxes and high costs. Anyone trying to make this election about who the president is \u2014 and who will only be president for two more years \u2014 has a screw loose and also doesn\u2019t have much of anything to offer.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Hilton doesn\u2019t engage in voter fraud allegations<\/p>\n<p>Federal authorities this week charged 28 people in California with illegally registering and casting ballots as part of a broader fight to exert more control over elections, which are run by states.<\/p>\n<p>Having just won an election primary in June, Hilton walks a line when discussing claims of electoral fraud. He takes issue with rules like ballot harvesting and a seven-day, post-election deadline for mail ballots to arrive, but he does not believe there is systemic fraud or cheating.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe mustn\u2019t let ourselves believe that every time we lose an election, it\u2019s because they cheated,\u201d he said when a supporter made the accusation during a Modesto town hall in August. \u201cWe lose the elections [because] we don\u2019t win enough votes, right?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>            <img class=\"image\" alt=\"Viewers at Victorio's Ristorante in North Hollywood attend a watch party for the CNN debate between gubernatorial candidates\"   width=\"1200\" height=\"741\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1792863973_564_.jpeg\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/>         <\/p>\n<p>Viewers attend a watch party at Victorio\u2019s Ristorante in North Hollywood during the debate between gubernatorial candidates Democrat Xavier Becerra, left, and Republican Steve Hilton earlier this month.<\/p>\n<p>(Jason Armond \/ Los Angeles Times)<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s why he is trying to reach independent voters and Democrats who \u201ccan\u2019t stand President Trump\u201d but \u201care desperate for something to change in California,\u201d he explained as applause rippled through the heavily Republican crowd.<\/p>\n<p>Hilton is counting on voters like Summer Behan, a former Democrat, to not only vote for him but persuade other disenchanted voters.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMy car got broken into 14 times in a year and a half,\u201d Behan told Hilton during the Modesto event. \u201cOur homeowners insurance went from $180 to $860, so we had to sell our house.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>She drives more than two hours to her nonprofit job in San Francisco.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s sort of an exhausting way to live,\u201d Behan said after the town hall. Families from her children\u2019s schools have moved to other states, but she wants to stay. \u201cCalifornia is beautiful, and it\u2019s just got so much to offer people, so I want to try and stick it out and see what it looks like with different leadership.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"MISSION VIEJO\u00a0\u2014\u00a0Twenty years after the GOP last won a state-level election in California, few Republican voters believe this&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":506768,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[7,9,8,6198,13540,17634,195812,1751,204,4674,24696,592,3020,195811,17382,195813,72],"class_list":["post-506767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-california","tag-california","tag-california-headlines","tag-california-news","tag-california-republicans","tag-candidate","tag-choice","tag-democratic-president","tag-democrats","tag-election","tag-election-day","tag-party","tag-people","tag-president-trump","tag-rachel-darvish","tag-steve-hilton","tag-summer-behan","tag-year"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/506767","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=506767"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/506767\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/506768"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=506767"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=506767"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=506767"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}