{"id":508430,"date":"2026-10-26T14:38:16","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T14:38:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/508430\/"},"modified":"2026-10-26T14:38:16","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T14:38:16","slug":"why-sfs-mansion-mania-is-good-news-for-the-citys-budget","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/508430\/","title":{"rendered":"Why SF\u2019s mansion mania is good news for the city\u2019s budget"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">Everyone knows that home prices in San Francisco are exorbitant, and politicians campaign on promises to make housing more affordable. One lesser known aspect, however, is that the upper echelons of luxury homebuyers are actually giving a nice little boost to the city\u2019s budget because of how SF taxes building purchases.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/San_Francisco,_California,_Proposition_I,_Real_Estate_Transfer_Tax_(November_2020)\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Since Proposition I passed in 2020 (opens in new tab)<\/a>, the transfer tax rate for properties that sell for between $10 million and $25 million grew to 5.5%, among the highest in the country, and more than double the 2.25% rate for properties between $5 million and $10 million. The bulk of eight-figure sales in SF come from commercial properties, but as more homes than ever fall into that bracket, it bolsters a volatile source of tax revenue for the city.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">\u201cIt certainly helps,\u201d said chief economist Ted Egan.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">High-end office buildings can sell for hundreds of millions, but the <a href=\"https:\/\/sfstandard.com\/2023\/07\/18\/san-francisco-commercial-property-values-could-plummet-40-by-2025\/\" data-post-id=\"5e1548ab-17e9-4316-b3ee-51a4e2e945bb\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">value of downtown offices plummeted<\/a> during the pandemic and is <a href=\"https:\/\/sfstandard.com\/2024\/06\/26\/san-francisco-office-vacancy-rate-record-experts-change\/\" data-post-id=\"149ed85a-e8bb-4c65-a460-e0c81163d132\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">slowly crawling back<\/a>. In the residential market, however, <a href=\"https:\/\/sfstandard.com\/2026\/07\/07\/sf-hyper-bidding-home-sales\/\" data-post-id=\"fa8f52b9-b678-4c6b-a803-1e2245aa6879\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">fierce competition among buyers<\/a> is raising the number of luxury homes that hit the higher tax level.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">\u201cCommercial property sales can be very volatile in San Francisco and the growth we get from upper-end residential sales can be an important stabilizer for that revenue stream,\u201d Egan said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">San Francisco had 19 residential real estate sales in the $10 million-plus bracket in the year ended June 2025, according to Compass data. In the year that ended this summer, it had 34. In October alone, there have been six sales over $10 million, which is the highest monthly total in several years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">\u201cThat segment of the market is extremely popular,\u201d according to <a href=\"https:\/\/sfstandard.com\/2026\/06\/14\/frank-nolan-vanguard-real-estate\/\" data-post-id=\"3285c90a-26af-46ad-b21b-e74a9d4e15b8\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vanguard Properties co-owner Frank Nolan<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/sfstandard.com\/2026\/06\/14\/frank-nolan-vanguard-real-estate\/\" data-post-id=\"3285c90a-26af-46ad-b21b-e74a9d4e15b8\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">. <\/a>The number of sales over the magic $10 million mark is \u201cmuch more than previous years,\u201d and will continue to grow, he predicted.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">While that increase may price out the simple millionaires from the centimillionaires and billionaires, it could be a silver lining for the city\u2019s coffers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">\u201cIt\u2019s a good thing for the city\u2019s fiscal situation that this is happening,\u201d Egan said. \u201cIt\u2019s not an enormous driver, but it is part of a set of changes to the housing market that are part of the city\u2019s recovery and are helping.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">Proof of San Francisco\u2019s rebound is reflected in the past year\u2019s property transfer tax revenue, which is expected to hit $417 million, a 42% increase from the year before. Transfer taxes from the sale of single-family and multifamily homes accounted for 58% of the total, while commercial buildings made up 42%. Egan estimates that, of the properties sold for more than $10 million last year, about 5% were residential. (All 2026 numbers are preliminary until SF releases its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sf.gov\/annual-comprehensive-financial-reports-acfr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">annual financial report (opens in new tab)<\/a>.)\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">The high home prices are a sign of the \u201cstrength of the housing market that is associated with the AI boom,\u201d he said. \u201cIf this continues enough to jumpstart production, that would have all kinds of other economic and fiscal benefits for the city.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">The surge in transfer taxes started after June 2024, when the city\u2019s property transfer tax revenues <a href=\"https:\/\/sfstandard.com\/2024\/12\/10\/sf-transfer-tax-revenue-decline-budget-woes\/\" data-post-id=\"9822a62e-7534-429d-a4ce-1b6af6d8f13a\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">dropped to a long-term low<\/a> at $177.7 million. It bottomed out thanks to the commercial real estate industry, which saw few large building sales (with reduced prices for those that did trade hands). But sky-high residential sales are no silver bullet, according to Egan. \u201cA couple of big office sales are just so much more lucrative for the city than a whole year\u2019s worth of mansion sales,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-block break-words article-body text-left\">Fiscal year 2022 ended with two \u201conce-in-a-generation\u201d commercial property sales: <a href=\"https:\/\/sfstandard.com\/2023\/09\/05\/san-franciscos-real-estate-reset-is-already-happening\/\" data-post-id=\"284070f8-1b48-48d0-b94f-af66e29eb75f\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the $800 million purchase<\/a> of PG&amp;E\u2019s former headquarters and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bizjournals.com\/sanfrancisco\/news\/2022\/05\/16\/the-exchange-in-mission-bay-has-been-rebranded.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">$1 billion sale of a Mission Bay office complex (opens in new tab)<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Everyone knows that home prices in San Francisco are exorbitant, and politicians campaign on promises to make housing&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":508431,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[13781,32851,388,11853,101,103,102,104,106,105],"class_list":["post-508430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-san-francisco","tag-luxury-real-estate","tag-property-taxes","tag-real-estate","tag-residential-real-estate","tag-san-francisco","tag-san-francisco-headlines","tag-san-francisco-news","tag-sf","tag-sf-headlines","tag-sf-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/508430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=508430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/508430\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/508431"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=508430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=508430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=508430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}