{"id":516064,"date":"2026-11-02T15:38:08","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T15:38:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/516064\/"},"modified":"2026-11-02T15:38:08","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T15:38:08","slug":"proposition-40-stumbles-to-finish-line-as-support-wanes-uc-berkeley-igs-poll-finds-research-and-ideas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/516064\/","title":{"rendered":"Proposition 40 stumbles to finish line as support wanes, UC Berkeley IGS poll finds | Research And Ideas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Billionaire Tax is losing support ahead of the Nov. 3 election, according to a poll published Oct. 29 by the UC Berkeley Institute of Government Studies, or IGS.<\/p>\n<p>The poll found that 5o% of likely voters intend to vote \u201cno\u201d on the proposition, with 42% voting \u201cyes.\u201d 8% of voters remain undecided.<\/p>\n<p>Appearing as Proposition 40 on the ballot, the Billionaire Tax would impose a 5% wealth tax on California residents with a net worth more than $1 billion, estimated to be about 260 individuals. Combined, these individuals hold approximately $2 trillion in wealth.<\/p>\n<p>The recent poll marks a shift in the electorate\u2019s opinions from mid-September, when a previous IGS poll found that 45% of likely voters intended to vote \u201cyes\u201d on the tax and 42% intended to vote \u201cno.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The mid-September poll also showed a decline in voters\u2019 backing for Prop. 40 from an August IGS poll, in which 48% of voters indicated support for the tax.<\/p>\n<p>Together, these polls suggest a \u201cgradual increase in the proportion of voters voting \u2018no\u2019 over time,\u201d said Berkeley IGS Poll Director Mark DiCamillo, who authored the three studies.<\/p>\n<p>The poll, conducted between Oct. 19 and Oct. 25, also found that voting preferences for the tax differ greatly depending on voters\u2019 ages. According to DiCamillo, younger voters are \u201cvery much in favor\u201d of the tax, with 67% of voters under 30 in favor and 22% opposed.<\/p>\n<p>However, for voters 65 and up, support is significantly lower, with 32% backing the measure and 60% opposed.<\/p>\n<p>Prop. 3, another proposition measured in the poll related to progressive taxation, is projected to earn the majority of voters\u2019 support, with 54% of voters currently in favor, according to October\u2019s poll.<\/p>\n<p>Of the seven propositions surveyed in the poll, Prop. 3 was the only one to receive the majority\u2019s support.<\/p>\n<p>Prop. 3 calls to extend a current tax on individuals earning more than $371,000, which would otherwise expire in 2031.<\/p>\n<p>The high percentage of voters in favor of Prop. 3, according to DiCamillo, shows Californians\u2019 \u201csupport of the progressive taxation structure\u201d for state income taxes.<\/p>\n<p>DiCamillo contrasted the support for Prop. 3 with the lower percentage of voters in favor of Prop. 40. He explained that Prop. 3, as an income tax, differs from the newfound asset tax proposed by Prop. 40, which voters are \u201cmore hesitant\u201d about putting into practice.<\/p>\n<p>Despite declining support, proponents of the Billionaire Tax have rallied to take the proposition across the finish line, including Lorena Gonzalez, the president of the California Federation of Labor Unions. She said in a virtual press conference advocating for Prop. 40 that polls historically underpoll Latine voters and young people.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re going to continue to get out the vote for those people who traditionally are underpolled \u2014 Latinos, young people and working class voters,\u201d Gonzalez said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Billionaire Tax is losing support ahead of the Nov. 3 election, according to a poll published Oct.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":516065,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[40292,7,198169,198168,79561,26070,143,145,144,179808,167370,149],"class_list":["post-516064","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-oakland","tag-billionaire-tax","tag-california","tag-california-federation-of-labor-unions","tag-institute-of-government-studies","tag-lorena-gonzalez","tag-mark-dicamillo","tag-oakland","tag-oakland-headlines","tag-oakland-news","tag-proposition-3","tag-proposition-40","tag-uc-berkeley"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/516064","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=516064"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/516064\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/516065"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=516064"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=516064"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=516064"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}