Dec. 6, 2025, 12:37 p.m. ET<\/p>\n
The Sacramento Kings<\/a> (5-17) visit the Miami Heat<\/a> (14-9) on Saturday. Tip-off from Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida is at 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a> NBA odds around the Kings vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions<\/a> for the best bets.<\/p>\n 2024-25 season series: Kings won 2-0<\/p>\n The Kings have lost their last 4 games and are only 2-12 in their last 14 contests. They last played Wednesday, getting blown out 121-95 by the Houston Rockets<\/a> as 15.5-point road underdogs with the Under (231) cashing. C Max Raynaud and G Malik Monk each scored 25 in a losing effort. They’re running without F Domantas Sabonis (knee).<\/p>\n The Heat recently had a 6-game winning streak, but they have lost 3 of their last 4 and their last two games. They lost Friday to teh Orlando Magic<\/a> 106-105 as 7-point road underdogs with the Under (241) cashing. F Bam Adebayo missed a shot at the buzzer for the win, but he also moved into third place on Miami’s all-time list with his 24 for the game.<\/p>\n Watch the NBA on Fubo!<\/a>Kings at Heat odds<\/p>\n Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n Moneyline (ML): Kings +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Heat -325 (bet $325 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Kings +8.5 (-115) | Heat -8.5 (-105)Over\/Under (O\/U): 239.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Kings at Heat key injuries<\/p>\n Kings<\/p>\n C Domantas Sabonis (knee) outG Dennis Schroder (hip) out)<\/p>\n Heat<\/p>\n (Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)<\/p>\n G\u00a0Tyler Herro\u00a0(toe) doubtfulG\u00a0Norman Powell\u00a0(ankle) questionableG Terry Rozier III (personal) out<\/p>\n For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report<\/a>.<\/p>\n Kings at Heat picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n Heat 114, Kings 103<\/p>\n Miami is 10-2 at home this season, while the Kings are 2-10 in away games, and the Heat are 3-0 in games on the back end of a back-to-back.<\/p>\n The Heat are 3-1 this season against the Pacific Division, and the Kings are simply not playing well.<\/p>\n The Heat should win, but the -325 odds don’t win you enough to make it worth your while.<\/p>\n PASS.<\/p>\n Eleven of the Kings’ last 12 losses have been by at least 9 points, and 4 of the Heat’s last 8 wins have been by more than 8 points. Half of Miami’s 14 wins this season have been by fewer than 9 points.<\/p>\n With a 14-9 ATS mark for Miami, which matches their straight-up win-loss record a and 7-14-1 ATS mark for Sacramento, only slightly better than their actual record, we can look at Miami’s 2-1 ATS record on no rest to give us the edge.<\/p>\n BET HEAT -8.5 (-105).<\/p>\n Only 2 of the Kings’ last 10 games have reached 240 total points. Four of the last 6 games and 6 of the last 10 for the Heat have not. One of their 2 meeting did last season, but that game went into overtime.<\/p>\n BET UNDER 239.5 (-110).<\/p>\n For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter\/X<\/a> and like us on Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n Access more NBA coverage:<\/p>\n HoopsHype<\/a> | Celtics Wire<\/a> | Nets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Rockets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Sixers Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Thunder Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Warriors Wire<\/a>\u00a0| LeBron Wire<\/a> |\u00a0Rookie Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0List Wire<\/a><\/p>\n Our team of savvy editors independently handpicks all recommendations. If you purchase through our links, the USA Today Network may earn a commission. Prices were accurate at the time of publication but may change.<\/p>\n Gambling involves risk. 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