New York City FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Club Friendlies 3 – January 24, 2026 – Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings – Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw has a probability of 23.16% and a win for Tampa Bay Rowdies has a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win it is 1-2 (5.54%).