Feb. 7, 2026, 11:35 a.m. ET

The No. 16 Florida Gators (16-6, 7-2 SEC) and the No. 25 Texas A&M Aggies (17-5, 7-2) meet Saturday at Reed Arena in College Station, Texas. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Florida vs. Texas A&M odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.

Florida earned its seventh win in 8 games Sunday, rolling past the then-No. 23 Alabama Crimson Tide 100-77. The Gators covered as 8.5-point home favorites with the Under (178.5) cashing. F Alex Condon led the way with 25 points, while F Thomas Haugh added 22. G Boogie Fland finished with 15 points, 8 assists and a career-high 8 steals. The rout was so decisive that 7-foot-9 freshman C Olivier Rioux saw the final minute and scored Florida’s last basket.

Texas A&M saw its 4-game winning streak end Wednesday with a 100-97 road loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Aggies covered as 8.5-point underdogs, and the Over (181.5) hit. F Rashaun Agee led Texas A&M with 21 points, while G Marcus Hill added 18 and G Rylan Griffen scored 17. The loss dropped the Aggies into a first-place tie with the Gators.

Florida beat Texas A&M 89-70 in the last meeting March 1, 2025, covering as an 8.5-point home favorite as the Over (149) cashed.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

Watch NCAA basketball on Fubo!Florida at Texas A&M odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Florida -285 (bet $285 to win $100) | Texas A&M +230 (bet $100 to win $230)Against the spread (ATS): Florida -6.5 (-115) | Texas A&M +6.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 168.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Florida at Texas A&M picks and predictionsPrediction

Florida 84, Texas A&M 76

PASS.

Florida (-285) should earn another impressive victory Saturday, but I’m not taking it on the moneyline with those odds.

LEAN FLORIDA -6.5 (-115).

Florida appears to have turned a corner after early-season struggles and is now playing its best basketball of the year. The Gators come in riding a 7-1 stretch, highlighted by a dominant home win over Alabama. In that victory, Florida shot 51.3 percent from the field, and piled up a staggering 72-26 advantage in the paint while committing just 2 turnovers.

Texas A&M is no pushover. The Aggies pushed Alabama to the wire on the road earlier this week, shooting 49 percent from the field and 42 percent from 3-point range. They have scored at least 88 points in 4 straight games and remain strong around the basket.

Still, Florida’s edge lies on the defensive end. The Gators’ ability to control the paint and limit clean looks should be the difference over 40 minutes. Expect Florida to apply consistent pressure, slow Texas A&M’s rhythm and do enough offensively to secure a road win and cover.

BET UNDER 168.5 (-115).

Both teams bring explosive offenses, each averaging more than 86 points per game, but this matchup sets up as more of a defensive battle. Florida has leaned on its defense lately, with the Under cashing in 4 straight games. Texas A&M has also trended lower, going Under in 3 of its last 5. While the pace should be quick, Florida’s ability to control the paint and force tougher looks should slow scoring stretches. In a tightly contested SEC showdown, points may be harder to come by than expected.

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