Feb. 9, 2026, 11:21 p.m. ET

The No. 13 North Carolina Tar Heels (19-4, 7-3 ACC) and the Miami Hurricanes (18-5, 7-3) meet Tuesday at Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the North Carolina vs. Miami odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.

North Carolina kept rolling Saturday, winning its fifth straight with a stunning 71-68 upset of their rival No. 6 Duke Blue Devils. G Seth Trimble drilled a game-winning 3-pointer with 0.4 seconds left, finishing with 16 points. F Caleb Wilson led the Tar Heels with 23. UNC won outright as a 6.5-point road underdog, with the Under (152.5) cashing.

Miami stayed hot on the road Saturday, winning for the third time in 4 games with a 74-68 victory over the Boston College Eagles. The Hurricanes won outright, but failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites with the Over (141.5) cashing. F Malik Reneau led the way with 23 points, while F Shelton Henderson added 19 points, 6 rebounds and 2 blocks. Miami has now won 4 of its last 5 road games.

North Carolina has controlled this series, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings. The Tar Heels most recently rolled past the Hurricanes 92-73 on March 1, 2025, covering as 17.5-point home favorites with the Over (159.5) cashing.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

Watch NCAA basketball on Fubo!North Carolina at Miami odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:09 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Miami -102 (bet $102 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina -1.5 (-102) | Miami +1.5 (-118)Over/Under (O/U): 157.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)North Carolina at Miami picks and predictionsPrediction

North Carolina 80, Miami 79

BET NORTH CAROLINA (-118).

This sets up as a fun matchup, but North Carolina comes in with clear momentum. The Tar Heels are fresh off an emotional home win over Duke, shooting 47.3 percent from the field, turning the ball over just 7 times and showing poise in a high-pressure spot. UNC has now won 5 straight, scoring 85 or more points in 4 of those games.

Miami has played better of late, shooting 51.9 percent in a road win at Boston College, but defensive issues remain. The Hurricanes rank last in the ACC in 3-point defense, a problem against a UNC team that can stretch the floor. North Carolina also owns a slight edge on the glass and has the size to match Miami’s paint-heavy attack. Coming off its biggest win of the season, UNC looks well positioned to keep rolling.

PASS.

This game will be close so you don’t want to give away even a point. Keep your wager to the moneyline.

BET OVER 157.5 (-110).

It’s tough to look past the trends here. North Carolina has gone Over in 8 of its last 10 games, fueled by a high-functioning offense. Miami has also leaned Over, cashing in 7 of its last 10. These teams combined for 165 points in their most recent meeting, a 92-73 UNC win in 2025. With both averaging more than 82 points per game, this matchup shapes up as another track meet.

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