Updated Feb. 20, 2026, 2:43 p.m. ET

The Bowling Green Falcons (16-11, 7-7 MAC) and the No. 23 Miami (Ohio) Redhawks (26-0, 13-0) meet Friday. Tip-off from Millett Hall in Oxford, Ohio, is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Bowling Green vs. Miami (Ohio) odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.

Bowling Green lost 78-71 at home to the Kent State Golden Flashes Tuesday as a 1.5-point favorite as the Under (151.5) cashed. G Javontae Campbell was good for a team-high 22 points with 5 assists, 3 rebounds and 3 steals, while F Sam Towns went for 13 points, 11 rebounds, 2 3-pointers and a blocked shot.

The Falcons suffered a 93-83 loss to Miami at home as a 6.5-point favorite as the Over (151.5) cashed in the first meeting on Dec. 30. BGSU has dropped 5 of the past 8 games outright, while going 3-5 ATS in the past 8 games, and 6-11 ATS in the past 17 outings. The Under has cashed in 6 in a row, and 8 of the past 9 games.

Miami posted an 86-77 victory as a 2.5-point favorite against the UMass Minutemen Tuesday as the Under (163.5) cashed. G Peter Suder hit 7-of-12 from the field to finish with 23 points, 5 rebounds, 2 steals, 2 3-pointers and a steal.

The Redhawks have covered 3 in a row, while the Under has a 3-2 edge in the past 5 games despite the fact Miami has scored 86 or more points in 3 straight, and 85+ points in 10 of the past 11 contests.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

Watch NCAA basketball on Fubo!Bowling Green at Miami (Ohio) odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bowling Green +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Miami (Ohio) -375 (bet $375 to win $100)Against the spread: Bowling Green +8.5 (-118) | Miami (Ohio) -8.5 (-102)Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Bowling Green at Miami (Ohio) picks and predictionsPrediction

Miami (Ohio) 84, Bowling Green 68

Miami (Ohio) (-375) will cost you nearly 4 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Even if you were to throw Miami into a multi-leg parlay, it would crush the value of your ticket.

AVOID.

MIAMI (OHIO) -8.5 (-105) is worth playing rather aggressively, as long as the number stays in the single digits.

The Redhawks topped the Falcons by 10 on the road, so coming home, it should be even better. Bowling Green has racked up 16 wins, but they’ve won just 3 of the past 8 games, and they’re also just 6-11 ATS across the past 17contests.

UNDER 153.5 (-105) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under is on a 6-0 run for Bowling Green, while going 8-1 across the past 9 meetings. Be careful, though, as these teams combined for 176 points with a total of just 151.5 for the easy Over on Dec. 30 in the first meeting.

The Under has a slight 3-2 edge in the past 5 games for Miami, but the Over is 6-3 across the previous 9 contests, so tread lightly.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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