Feb. 21, 2026, 9:16 a.m. ET
The Miami Hurricanes (21-5, 10-3 ACC) visit the No. 14 Virginia Cavaliers (23-3, 11-2) Saturday afternoon for a 2 p.m. ET (ESPN2) tip from John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Miami vs. Virginia odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
Miami has won 4 games in a row and 6 of its last 7 after taking down Virginia Tech 67-66 on Tuesday while failing to cover as an 8.5-point home favorite with the Under (148.5) hitting. G Tre Donaldson exploded for a game-high 32 points, while G Dante Allen (10) was the only other Hurricanes player to score in double figures in the narrow victory.
Virginia has won 7 games in a row after dominating Georgia Tech 94-68 and covering as a 13.5-point road favorite with the Over (150.5) hitting with ease on Wednesday. F Thijs De Ridder led all scorers with 22 points while G Dallin Hall (12 points, 10 assists) added a double-double in the blowout.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
Watch NCAA basketball on Fubo!Miami at Virginia odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:10 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Miami +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Virginia -325 (bet $325 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Miami +7.5 (-110) | Virginia -7.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Miami at Virginia picks and predictionsPrediction
Virginia 73, Miami 69
PASS.
There is minimal value on the Cavaliers (-325) to win at home.
BET MIAMI +7.5 (-110).
The Hurricanes have won 6 of their last 7 games and have covered in 2 of their last 3, including back-to-back games as underdogs. While the Cavaliers hold the advantage at home, the Hurricanes have performed well this season and are fighting for a spot in the top 25. With this wide of a spread, the road team has good value.
BET UNDER 145.5 (-115).
The Cavaliers’ defense will be the primary reason for the Under hitting. Virginia has allowed 68 or fewer points in each of its last 6 games and has been spectacular defensively this season — a large reason why the Cavaliers sport a 10-16 O/U record on the season.
The Hurricanes have hit the Under in each of their last 3 games and have allowed 69 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 and 6 of their last 10. They will face an uphill battle offensively.
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