Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds, tips and betting trends

Data Skrive

Feb. 23, 2026, 1:55 a.m. ET

Feb 3, 2026; Tampa, Florida, USA; Buffalo Sabres defenseman Bowen Byram (4) skates with the puck as Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Nikita Kucherov (86) defends during the overtime period at Benchmark International Arena.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (37-14-4, first in the Eastern Conference) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-21-9, 12th) in conference action on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay won 6-1 at home its last time out on Feb. 5 against the Florida Panthers.

Toronto won on the road in its last game on Feb. 3, 5-2 over the Edmonton Oilers.

As hockey play continues, prepare for the outing with what you need to know before Wednesday’s game.

Watch Lightning vs. Maple Leafs on Sling!Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds and betting lines

NHL odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 1:55 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Lightning (-238)Underdog: Maple Leafs (+195)Over/under: 6.5Lightning vs. Maple Leafs game info and start timeDate: Wednesday, February 25, 2026Time: 7:30 p.m. ETTV channel: TNTLive stream: Watch on SlingWatch Lightning vs. Maple Leafs on Sling!Lightning stats and trendsThrough 44 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Tampa Bay has won 29 of those matchups.Through four games with moneyline odds lower than -238 this season, the Lightning have won three times.There is a 70.4% chance that Tampa Bay wins this game, per the moneyline.Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over the current 6.5-goal total in 24 of 55 matches (43.6%) so far this season.Over the last 10 contests, the Lightning are 8-1-1 (85.0% of possible points).They are scoring at a 3.7 goals-per-game average (37 total) over that span.On the defensive side, the Lightning have allowed 2.1 goals per game (21 total) over those 10 outings.Maple Leafs stats and trendsThe Maple Leafs have secured an upset victory in 11, or 42.3%, of the 26 games they have played as an underdog this season.Toronto has not had a game with longer moneyline odds than +195.The Maple Leafs have a 33.9% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline).Toronto has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 33 of 57 games this season.In the past 10 contests, the Maple Leafs have claimed 65.0% of the possible points with a 4-5-1 record.They are scoring at a 2.9 goals-per-game average (29 total) during that span.Over on the defensive side, the Maple Leafs have allowed 3.4 goals per game (34 total) over those 10 outings.

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