March 7, 2026, 10:37 a.m. ET
The No. 5 Florida Gators (24-6, 15-2 SEC) visit the Kentucky Wildcats (19-11, 10-7) Saturday afternoon for a 4 p.m. ET (ESPN) tip from Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Florida vs. Kentucky odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
Florida has won 10 games in a row after dominating Mississippi State 108-74 on Tuesday, covering as a 20.5-point home favorite with the Over (160.5) hitting. F Alex Condon led all scorers with 26 points while C Rueben Chinyelu (11 points, 16 rebounds) added a double-double in the blowout.
Kentucky’s 2-game winning streak was snapped Tuesday with a 96-85 loss against Texas A&M, failing to cover as a 1.5-point road underdog with the Over (162.5) hitting. G Otega Oweh scored a game-high 24 points while F Mouhamed Dioubate (19) was the only other Wildcats player to score in double figures.
The Gators took down the Wildcats 92-83 on Feb. 14 but failed to cover as 12.5-point road favorites as the Over (154.5) hit.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
Watch NCAA basketball on Fubo!Florida at Kentucky odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:10 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Florida -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Kentucky +225 (bet $100 to win $225)Against the spread (ATS): Florida -6.5 (-110) | Kentucky +6.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 162.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Florida at Kentucky picks and predictionsPrediction
Florida 87, Kentucky 78
PASS.
There is minimal value on the Gators (-275) to stretch their winning streak to 11.
BET FLORIDA -6.5 (-110).
The Gators are 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games, covering in 4 straight overall and 5 straight on the road. They have been dominant on both sides of the ball, with their last 11 wins coming by at least 9 points.
The Wildcats have also fared well ATS of late (7-3 in their last 10) but this spread is just too slim to favor the home team.
BET OVER 162.5 (-110).
The Gators have hit the Over in back-to-back games and in 3 of their last 4. They have scored 108 or more in back-to-back games and at least 84 in 9 of their last 10. They will carry the load in this contest.
The Wildcats have hit the Over in back-to-back games and in 4 of their last 6. They have scored 85 or more points in back-to-back contests and at least 78 in 6 of their last 9.
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