NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Flames
The Tampa Bay Lightning square off against the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome, with face-off scheduled for 20:00 on Sunday, March 22.
Lightning Primed to Win This Clash
For a value bet, head to the 3-Way Moneyline where you can back the Lightning to get the better of the Flames in 60 minutes. Our prediction is currently on offer at a juicy -118.
Lightning Won Last H2H Encounter
Tampa Bay Lightning have triumphed in their previous three games. The latest was on the road where Edmonton Oilers were beaten 5-2 at Rogers Place. Nikita Kucherov racked up 4 points, including 2 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy had an awesome game, keeping out 26 shots (.963).
Calgary Flames have enjoyed three consecutive home wins at Scotiabank Saddledome. Last time out, Florida Panthers were beaten 4-1. There were four different goalscorers including Joel Farabee. Goalie Dustin Wolf produced a great performance and had 24 saves (.960).
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at Benchmark International Arena, with the Lightning claiming the win. Beating the Flames by a 5-1 scoreline. The Lightning have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Flames. On the head-to-head front, it has been 6 wins out of 10.
Starting Goalies
Jonas Johansson (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
10-9-1
3.3
.884
0
23/24
12-7-5
3.37
.890
2
Dustin Wolf (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
20-25-3
3
.897
2
23/24
7-7-1
3.16
.893
0
Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games
5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 3.9 goals from 26.3 shots on goal, with a 13.6% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 3.5 goals from 28.1 shots, averaging 5.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.5%.
Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 23 points, 9 goals and 14 assists, with Anthony Cirelli recording 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.47 goal against average with a .906 save percentage.
Calgary Flames – Last 10 Games
The Flames have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 2.4 goals from 26.8 shots on goal, with a 8.8% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.9 goals from 29.4 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 78.4%.
The top points scorer is Blake Coleman with 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists, while Morgan Frost is next in line after having 6 points, 4 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Dustin Wolf have a 3.48 GAA with a .879 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Prediction & Picks
Make the most of Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
There is merit in simply backing Tampa Bay Lightning to beat their opponents in regulation time when it comes to this NHL clash. Especially as odds of -118 are available for this value pick.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our NHL analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our hockey predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.
Key Lightning vs Flames stats:
Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games.Lightning have won 13 of their last 20 games on the road.Lightning have won 3 consecutive games.Flames have lost 13 of their last 20 games.Flames have lost 6 of their last 10 games.Flames have lost their last 3 games against Lightning.Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
We’d recommend taking a look at betting selections for Match Winner & Total Goals, Puck Line and Winning Margin if you’re interested in siding with Tampa Bay but want bigger odds.
Check out our latest betting offers guide — packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.
Our Game Prediction
Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -118
Bet Now
BetMGM Promo
Promotions on BetMGM!
Get Bonus
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 22, 03:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 03:56, 22 March 2026
Player Prop Picks
Darren Raddysh (Lightning) has had Over 2.5 shots on goal in 5 straight road games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the line, with betting odds of -141 now available.
Latest Darren Raddysh Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Tight Clash on the Cards According to the Books
Sportsbooks’ favorites Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -182 about them triumphing means a 65% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Calgary Flames are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +150.
The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of -102.
If you’re looking to place a National Hockey League wager, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Take your time to find the lines and odds that offer the best value.
Nikita Kucherov Favorite to Light the Lamp First
Favorite Nikita Kucherov is priced at +900 to be the first player to light the lamp. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score at anytime at odds of +125.
Player Goals
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Brandon Hagel (Lightning)
Brayden Point (Lightning)
Player Assists
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Darren Raddysh (Lightning)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Brandon Hagel (Lightning)
Player Shots
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Brandon Hagel (Lightning)
Blake Coleman (Flames)
Micro Betting
Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NHL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and several 10 Minute lines are among the options.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Tampa Bay Lightning Stats
Calgary Flames Stats
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 8.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.20 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 26.3
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 5.2
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 15.3
Blocks: 14.4
Faceoff Wins : 25.8
Hits: 23.5
Giveaways: 14.1
Takeaways: 3.5
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 28.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 5
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 14.6
Blocks: 14.4
Faceoff Wins : 27.9
Hits: 21.3
Giveaways: 15.5
Takeaways: 4.2
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 26.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
Penalties: 3.7
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 7.9
Blocks: 13.2
Faceoff Wins : 25.3
Hits: 18.8
Giveaways: 17.2
Takeaways: 5
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.8
Shots: 29.1
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 9.1
Blocks: 14.9
Faceoff Wins : 26.7
Hits: 20.7
Giveaways: 16.8
Takeaways: 4.6
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Paul Boucher
Senior NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Paul Boucher is a Senior NHL Analyst and Head of the Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel with over 15 years of experience as a sports journalist and betting analyst. Based in Montreal, he provides first-hand insight through regular attendance at the Bell Centre, utilising advanced metrics to identify market value across key game lines, player props and same game parlays.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
The betting site referenced has been independently reviewed under our published review methodology, which evaluates betting lines, odds and market depth, licensing and security, payment processes, withdrawal reliability, responsible gambling tools and additional platform criteria relevant to user experience and regulatory standards.
 Read our BetMGM Analyst Review
Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Mar 22, 10:28 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
18+ (or legal age). If gambling is causing harm or distress, support is available. Visit our Gamble Responsibly hub for safer gambling tools, self-exclusion options and local helplines.
Editorial Policy | Disclaimer