“Our disorganized low in the Bay of Campeche still doesn’t look great in terms of development. The blob has changed shape along the Texas coastline, but will take a lot for it to get itself together. Heavy rain still possible for Mexico,” Denis Phillips, chief meteorologist for Tampa Bay 28, wrote in a social media post.
Fox 13’s Paul Dellegatto wrote in a social media post that the area being watched “is a typical spot for early season development.”
Dellegatto added, “Model support at this point is weak.”
While forecasters are calling for a below average hurricane season because of the developing El Niño, which would hinder storm formation, sea surface temperatures in waters near Florida are running above average for this time of year, within the 80-degree range, the threshold generally needed for tropical development, AccuWeather forecasters said.
“While we always monitor the tropics for potential threats, we’ll be keeping a close eye on the central and eastern Gulf and the southwestern Atlantic,” AccuWeather’s lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said. “Climatologically, this region can experience early-season tropical development.”