Aug. 2, 2026, 6:50 a.m. ET

The Chicago White Sox (58-52) and Tampa Bay Rays (65-45) close out their 3-game series in St. Petersburg, Florida, on Sunday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is at 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze MLB odds around the White Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 4-1

The White Sox lead the AL Central by 3 games over the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins. After winning the series opener 6-1 Friday, they had their 3-game winning streak snapped in a 1-0 loss Saturday. Rookie SP Noah Schultz took the loss, allowing the only run of the game in 5 innings of work, falling to 3-8. The offense was held to 5 singles, 2 by C Edgar Quero.

The Rays lead the AL East, holding a 3 1/2-game lead over the New York Yankees. They have won 9 of their last 12 games. C Nick Fortes’ RBI single in the fifth inning drove in the only run of the game. The Rays were held to only 5 hits. SP Drew Rasmussen (6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 10 K) picked up his 10th win, and closer Bryan Baker earned his 31st save.

Watch MLB on Fubo!White Sox at Rays projected starters

LHP Anthony Kay vs. RHP Griffin Jax

Kay (7-5, 4.25 ERA) makes his 21st start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 103 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-2 home loss to New York Yankees TuesdayLast game vs. Rays (April 16): No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 1 K in relief in 5-3 loss in ChicagoCareer vs. Rays: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (21 IP, 9 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 8 games (2 starts)2026 road splits: 2-2, 5.56 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 10 starts

Jax (6-8, 3.74 ERA) makes his 18th start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 86 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 5 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 4-1 home loss to Texas Rangers TuesdayLast game vs. White Sox (April 16): No-decision, 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 5-3 win in Chicago in reliefCareer vs. White Sox: 3-2, 2.81 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 33 games (3 starts)2026 home splits: 3-3, 3.40 ERA (42 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 in 12 games (9 starts)White Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Rays -155 (bet $155 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-175) | Rays -1.5 (+145)Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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White Sox at Rays picks and predictionsPrediction

Rays 5, White Sox 2

The White Sox are 24-31 on the road, although they have won 5 of their last 8 away games.

The Rays’ 41-17 home record is the best in baseball. They are 8-2-1 in their last 11 series. They have only lost 3 games in their last 12.

Expect the Rays to win, but Tampa is a solid bet to cover.

PASS.

The Rays are 25-16 ATS as home favorites, per Teamrankings.com. Three of their 4 wins over Chicago have been by more than 1 run. Nineteen of their last 22 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

The White Sox are 27-16 ATS as away underdogs and their last 4 losses with Kay pitching have only been by 1 run, but 4 of their last 6 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

BET RAYS -1.5 (+145).

Nine of the Rays’ last 10 games, including their last 7, have not reached 8 total runs. Four of both Jax’s and Kay’s last 5 starts have had totals of 7 or fewer runs.

The Rays are 47-61 O/U this season.

BET UNDER 8 (-120).

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