“This is the main area where wind shear is weaker and moisture is more abundant,” AccuWeather said.
This spot has low chances of development from Sept. 17-19, forecasters said.
(AccuWeather)
“The Gulf Coast is a common resting place for fronts that previously moved into the region from the north and west. Tropical development can occasionally occur along these decaying frontal boundaries. An upper-level storm is forecast to form off the mid-Atlantic coast early this week, drift southwest across the Southeast and enter the Gulf by the weekend,” according to AccuWeather.
“Stronger high pressure building southward from the eastern United States will lead to increasing NE to E winds over the basin [starting late Tuesday,] with speeds reaching fresh to strong and rough seas over the northern Gulf Wednesday through Thursday night,” NHC forecasters said. “Conditions will improve Friday.”
While these upper-level storms could lead to tropical development, early forecasts call for this system to keep moving, rather than stall, which will generate disruptive wind shear in its path, AccuWeather said.